Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 12

Henan Songshan Longmen 1-0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng: prediction, tips and result

Friday 15 May · 12:35

Henan Songshan Longmen

0-0 0-3 4-0 1-1 0-3

1-0Full time(half time 0-0)

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

1-2 1-1 1-2 1-0 0-1

Stadium:: Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, Zhengzhou
Referee:: Shengyu Sun

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%O2.551%|exp. goals 1.8 : 0.9not both scored

H2Hlast 4 meetings

08/08/202508/08/25Henan Songshan Longmen4:1Shenzhen XinpengchengW
05/04/202505/04/25Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1:3Henan Songshan LongmenW
13/07/202413/07/24Shenzhen Xinpengcheng0:0Henan Songshan LongmenD
05/04/202405/04/24Henan Songshan Longmen0:2Shenzhen XinpengchengL

Henan Songshan Longmen's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.8 goals per match

Cornersleague corners10.8league 10.8over 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.8 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 12

Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.4under 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.won · ended 2

RefereeS. Sunfirst match in our data

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Attack/defence1.8 : 0.9total 2.7

Henan Songshan Longmen : Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

Most likely scores

Attack/defence1-111%1-011%2-010%2-110%0-07%3-06%

Attack/defence1-11-111%1-01-011%2-02-010%2-12-110%0-00-07%3-03-06%

Attack vs defence

Henan Songshan Longmen attack vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng defenceattack1479defence1428+51 pts to the attack

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng attack vs Henan Songshan Longmen defenceattack1387defence1541−154 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Henan Songshan Longmen: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng concede a lot late on: 9 of 20 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
Henan Songshan Longmen: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng: 5 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

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