Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 2-2 Henan Songshan Longmen: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Shenzhen Sports Center Stadium, Shenzhen

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Won59%

under 10.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (59% of league matches)

For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Won47%

under 9.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (50% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloShenzhen Xinpengcheng119434%32%Draw26%28%Henan Songshan Longmen130539%40%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%53%O2.558%48%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Henan Songshan Longmen1:0Shenzhen XinpengchengL
  2. Henan Songshan Longmen4:1Shenzhen XinpengchengL
  3. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1:3Henan Songshan LongmenL
  4. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng0:0Henan Songshan LongmenD
  5. Henan Songshan Longmen0:2Shenzhen XinpengchengW
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.2under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 4
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.9over 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 4
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.6total 3.0Attack/defence1.3 : 1.4total 2.6
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng : Henan Songshan Longmen
Most likely scores
Market1-112%0-17%1-29%1-06%2-18%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%0-110%1-28%1-09%2-18%0-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%0-10-17%0-110%1-21-29%1-28%1-01-06%1-09%2-12-18%2-18%0-00-0—0-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%73%73%
12 – no draw73%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat65%66%66%
Under 3.5 goals65%73%73%
Both teams to score: yes61%53%53%
1X – home team avoid defeat60%62%62%
Over 2.5 goals58%48%48%
Under 2.5 goals42%52%52%
2 – Henan Songshan Longmen win39%39% · Elo 40%39%· Elo 40%
Both teams to score: no39%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals35%27%27%
1 – Shenzhen Xinpengcheng win34%34% · Elo 32%34%· Elo 32%
X – draw26%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals19%27%27%
Attack vs defence
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng attack vs Henan Songshan Longmen defenceattack1413defence1555−142 pts to the attack
Henan Songshan Longmen attack vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng defenceattack1477defence1443+34 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 56%close to the league averageunder 44%over
We expect 9.2 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.568%60%
8.556%52%
9.543%42%
10.532%31%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Shenzhen Xinpengchengwe expect 5.1, league average 5.0 · chance of over 5.5: 40%
Henan Songshan Longmenwe expect 4.2, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 60%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 66%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 34%over
We expect 26.3 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.572%53%
23.566%45%
24.559%39%
25.553%32%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Shenzhen Xinpengchengwe expect 12.4, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 56%
Henan Songshan Longmenwe expect 14.4, league average 12.0 · chance of over 12.5: 65%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 60%close to the league averageunderover 40%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.562%59%
3.540%42%
4.523%27%
5.511%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Shenzhen Xinpengchengwe expect 1.4, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Henan Songshan Longmenwe expect 1.7, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 50%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Henan Songshan Longmen: no win in 7 matches
  • Shenzhen Xinpengcheng concede a lot late on: 13 of 31 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Shenzhen Xinpengcheng: 34 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Henan Songshan Longmen: 27 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Shenzhen Xinpengcheng27851436:4729
13Henan Songshan Longmen27810935:3728
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Henan Songshan Longmen?

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 2-2 Henan Songshan Longmen (half time 0-1).

Did the Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Henan Songshan Longmen tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip won.