Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 Henan Songshan Longmen: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Wuhan Sports Center Stadium, Wuhan
Referee:
Kun Ai

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Lost59%

under 10.5 corners in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (59% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 4.5Won65%

    referee Kun Ai averages 3.3 cards a match, league average 4.1

For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Lost47%

under 9.5 corners in 4 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (50% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloWuhan Three Towns122234%35%Draw25%28%Henan Songshan Longmen130541%36%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%55%O2.563%51%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Henan Songshan Longmen1:1Wuhan Three TownsD
  2. Wuhan Three Towns2:5Henan Songshan LongmenL
  3. Henan Songshan Longmen1:2Wuhan Three TownsW
  4. Wuhan Three Towns1:0Henan Songshan LongmenW
  5. Henan Songshan Longmen2:3Wuhan Three TownsW
Wuhan Three Towns's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.2under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards3.9league 4.1under 4.5: 65%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 4
RefereeK. Ai−1.0 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.7total 3.2Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
Wuhan Three Towns : Henan Songshan Longmen
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%1-0—0-16%2-18%0-0—2-27%Attack/defence1-113%1-28%1-09%0-19%2-18%0-07%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%1-21-29%1-28%1-01-0—1-09%0-10-16%0-19%2-12-18%2-18%0-00-0—0-07%2-22-27%2-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%75%75%
12 – no draw75%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%63%63%
Both teams to score: yes65%55%55%
Over 2.5 goals63%51%51%
Under 3.5 goals60%71%71%
1X – home team avoid defeat59%64%64%
2 – Henan Songshan Longmen win41%36% · Elo 36%36%· Elo 36%
Over 3.5 goals40%29%29%
Under 2.5 goals37%49%49%
Both teams to score: no35%45%45%
1 – Wuhan Three Towns win34%37% · Elo 35%37%· Elo 35%
X – draw25%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals16%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Wuhan Three Towns attack vs Henan Songshan Longmen defenceattack1455defence1551−96 pts to the attack
Henan Songshan Longmen attack vs Wuhan Three Towns defenceattack1473defence1439+34 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Henan Songshan Longmen: only 11 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Wuhan Three Towns: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Henan Songshan Longmen: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Henan Songshan Longmen27810935:3728
15Wuhan Three Towns275121040:4722
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Songshan Longmen?

Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 Henan Songshan Longmen (half time 0-0).

Did the Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Songshan Longmen tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip lost.