Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 25

Henan Songshan Longmen 1-1 Chongqing Tonglianglong: prediction, tips and result

Saturday 29 August · 13:00

Henan Songshan Longmen

2-1 1-1 0-0 1-4 4-4

1-1Full time(half time 1-0)

Chongqing Tonglianglong

0-1 0-0 2-3 0-2 0-1

Stadium:: Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, Zhengzhou
Referee:: Meng Xiangkun

Our tips

Main tip

Cards: Under 4.5Won67%

under 4.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (57% of league matches); 3.7 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.4 in the visitors', league average 4.1

Other tips

Corners: Under 10.5Won59%
under 10.5 corners in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (59% of league matches)
Match Result: Henan Songshan LongmenLost76%
Chongqing Tonglianglong: winless in their last 8 league matches

For the brave

Correct Score: 2:0Lost14%

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloHenan Songshan Longmen130576%54%Draw16%25%Chongqing Tonglianglong12158%21%favourite did not win

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS41%47%O2.556%45%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.9both scored

H2Hlast meeting

05/05/202605/05/26Chongqing Tonglianglong1:1Henan Songshan LongmenD

Henan Songshan Longmen's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses2.0 goals per match

too few to read anything into

Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.2under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9

Cardsleague cards3.8league 4.1under 4.5: 67%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 3

RefereeM. Xiangkun−0.5 cards vs average5 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market2.3 : 0.6total 2.9Attack/defence1.6 : 0.9total 2.5

Henan Songshan Longmen : Chongqing Tonglianglong

Most likely scores

Market2-014%1-012%1-18%3-011%2-19%0-0—0-1—Attack/defence2-010%1-013%1-112%3-0—2-19%0-09%0-17%

MarketAttack/defence2-02-014%2-010%1-01-012%1-013%1-11-18%1-112%3-03-011%3-0—2-12-19%2-19%0-00-0—0-09%0-10-1—0-17%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat	92%79%	79%
12 – no draw	84%74%	74%
Over 1.5 goals	79%70%	70%
1 – Henan Songshan Longmen win	76%52% · Elo 54%	52%· Elo 54%
Under 3.5 goals	67%77%	77%
Both teams to score: no	59%53%	53%
Over 2.5 goals	56%45%	45%
Under 2.5 goals	44%55%	55%
Both teams to score: yes	41%47%	47%
Over 3.5 goals	33%23%	23%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	24%48%	48%
Under 1.5 goals	21%30%	30%
X – draw	16%26% · Elo 25%	26%· Elo 25%
2 – Chongqing Tonglianglong win	8%21% · Elo 21%	21%· Elo 21%

Attack vs defence

Henan Songshan Longmen attack vs Chongqing Tonglianglong defenceattack1478defence1506−28 pts to the attack

Chongqing Tonglianglong attack vs Henan Songshan Longmen defenceattack1350defence1541−191 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Chongqing Tonglianglong matches average only 2.4 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
Chongqing Tonglianglong: no win in 8 matches
Chongqing Tonglianglong: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Chongqing Tonglianglong: newly promoted
Henan Songshan Longmen: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
Chongqing Tonglianglong: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form