Shanghai Shenhua 4-1 Henan Songshan Longmen: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai
Referee:
Liang Songshang

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won68%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 10.5Won61%

    9.7 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.2 in the visitors', league average 10.1; under 10.5 corners in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (61% of league matches)

  • Cards: Under 4.5Won58%

    under 4.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (55% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloShanghai Shenhua143351%56%Draw23%24%Henan Songshan Longmen130526%19%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%54%O2.568%52%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Henan Songshan Longmen0:3Shanghai ShenhuaW
  2. Shanghai Shenhua3:2Henan Songshan LongmenW
  3. Henan Songshan Longmen1:3Shanghai ShenhuaW
  4. Shanghai Shenhua2:1Henan Songshan LongmenW
  5. Henan Songshan Longmen1:2Shanghai ShenhuaW
Shanghai Shenhua's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.1under 10.5: 61%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.2under 4.5: 58%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 2
RefereeL. Songshang+0.9 cards vs average7 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.4total 3.5Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.8
Shanghai Shenhua : Henan Songshan Longmen
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-0—2-19%2-07%2-27%0-0—0-1—1-26%Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-110%2-09%2-2—0-07%0-16%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%1-01-0—1-010%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-07%2-09%2-22-27%2-2—0-00-0—0-07%0-10-1—0-16%1-21-26%1-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals87%76%76%
12 – no draw77%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat74%77%77%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals68%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes67%54%54%
Under 3.5 goals54%70%70%
1 – Shanghai Shenhua win51%53% · Elo 56%53%· Elo 56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat49%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals46%30%30%
Both teams to score: no33%46%46%
Under 2.5 goals32%48%48%
2 – Henan Songshan Longmen win26%23% · Elo 19%23%· Elo 19%
X – draw23%25% · Elo 24%25%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals13%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Shanghai Shenhua attack vs Henan Songshan Longmen defenceattack1601defence1567+34 pts to the attack
Henan Songshan Longmen attack vs Shanghai Shenhua defenceattack1472defence1570−98 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Shanghai Shenhua: only 11 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Shanghai Shenhua: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Henan Songshan Longmen: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Shanghai Shenhua27135959:4734
13Henan Songshan Longmen27810935:3728
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Songshan Longmen?

Shanghai Shenhua 4-1 Henan Songshan Longmen (half time 1-1).

Did the Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Songshan Longmen tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.