Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 21
Liaoning Tieren 3-1 Shanghai Shenhua: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Tiexi Stadium, Shenyang
- Referee:
- Zihao Su
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost60%
under 4.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (54% of league matches)
For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost42%
under 3.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (37% of league matches)
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%59%O2.564%58%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.8both scored
H2Hlast meeting
- Shanghai Shenhua3:1Liaoning TierenL
Liaoning Tieren's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss4.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners10.2league 10.2under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards4.2league 4.2under 4.5: 60%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.lost · ended 5
RefereeZ. Su+0.6 cards vs average1 match
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 2.0total 3.4Attack/defence1.2 : 1.8total 3.0
Liaoning Tieren : Shanghai ShenhuaMost likely scores
Market1-110%1-29%0-1—0-27%2-17%2-26%Attack/defence1-111%1-210%0-19%0-28%2-17%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%1-21-29%1-210%0-10-1—0-19%0-20-27%0-28%2-12-17%2-17%2-22-26%2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 74%75% | 75% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65%59% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64%58% | 58% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58%64% | 64% |
| 2 – Shanghai Shenhua win | 51%51% · Elo 51% | 51%· Elo 51% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 49%49% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42%36% | 36% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36%42% | 42% |
| Both teams to score: no | 35%41% | 41% |
| 1 – Liaoning Tieren win | 26%25% · Elo 23% | 25%· Elo 23% |
| X – draw | 23%24% · Elo 26% | 24%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Liaoning Tieren attack vs Shanghai Shenhua defenceattack1416defence1574−158 pts to the attack
Shanghai Shenhua attack vs Liaoning Tieren defenceattack1613defence1416+197 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Shanghai Shenhua concede 2.0 goals per game
- Shanghai Shenhua: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Liaoning Tieren score a lot late on: 11 of 25 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Liaoning Tieren: newly promoted
- Liaoning Tieren: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Shanghai Shenhua: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 59:47 | 34 |
| 14 | Liaoning Tieren | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35:48 | 26 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Liaoning Tieren vs Shanghai Shenhua?
Liaoning Tieren 3-1 Shanghai Shenhua (half time 2-0).
Did the Liaoning Tieren vs Shanghai Shenhua tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.