Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 23

Qingdao West Coast 0-0 Chongqing Tonglianglong: prediction, tips and result

Friday 14 August · 13:00

Qingdao West Coast

0-3 1-1 1-0 2-0 0-0

0-0Full time(half time 0-0)

Chongqing Tonglianglong

2-3 0-2 0-1 1-1 1-1

Stadium:: Guzhenkou University Sports Center, Qingdao
Referee:: Di Wang

Our tips

Main tip

Total Goals: Under 2.5Won63%

Qingdao West Coast: clean sheets in each of their last 3 league matches; our numbers: 2.2 goals in total in this match, league average 3.1

Other tips

Cards: Under 4.5Won61%
under 4.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (55% of league matches)

For the brave

Total Goals: Under 1.5Won35%

Qingdao West Coast: clean sheets in each of their last 3 league matches; our numbers: 2.2 goals in total in this match, league average 3.1

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloQingdao West Coast127444%51%Draw31%26%Chongqing Tonglianglong121525%23%favourite did not win

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS44%46%O2.537%40%|exp. goals 1.4 : 0.9not both scored

H2Hlast meeting

26/04/202626/04/26Chongqing Tonglianglong1:1Qingdao West CoastD

Qingdao West Coast's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses2.0 goals per match

too few to read anything into

Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.2under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7

Cardsleague cards4.1league 4.2under 4.5: 61%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 1

RefereeD. Wang0.0 cards vs average6 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.3 : 0.9total 2.2Attack/defence1.4 : 0.9total 2.3

Qingdao West Coast : Chongqing Tonglianglong

Most likely scores

Market1-114%1-013%0-012%2-09%0-19%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-013%0-010%2-09%0-19%2-19%

MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-013%1-013%0-00-012%0-010%2-02-09%2-09%0-10-19%0-19%2-12-1—2-19%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Under 3.5 goals	82%80%	80%
1X – home team avoid defeat	75%75%	75%
12 – no draw	69%72%	72%
Over 1.5 goals	65%67%	67%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals	63%60%	60%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	56%54%	54%
Both teams to score: no	56%54%	54%
1 – Qingdao West Coast win	44%46% · Elo 51%	46%· Elo 51%
Both teams to score: yes	44%46%	46%
Over 2.5 goals	37%40%	40%
Under 1.5 goals	35%33%	33%
X – draw	31%28% · Elo 26%	28%· Elo 26%
2 – Chongqing Tonglianglong win	25%25% · Elo 23%	25%· Elo 23%
Over 3.5 goals	18%20%	20%

Attack vs defence

Qingdao West Coast attack vs Chongqing Tonglianglong defenceattack1406defence1493−87 pts to the attack

Chongqing Tonglianglong attack vs Qingdao West Coast defenceattack1369defence1526−157 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Chongqing Tonglianglong matches average only 2.9 cards (league 4.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
Qingdao West Coast: 18 pts in 9 matches, bookmakers expected about 10 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Qingdao West Coast concede a lot late on: 10 of 23 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
Chongqing Tonglianglong: newly promoted
Qingdao West Coast: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
Chongqing Tonglianglong: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form