Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 24

Liaoning Tieren 4-4 Henan Songshan Longmen: prediction, tips and result

·

Liaoning Tieren
1-10-13-10-11-2
4-4Full time(half time 0-2)
Henan Songshan Longmen
1-40-01-12-15-1
Stadium:
Tiexi Stadium, Shenyang
Referee:
Yige Dai

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Lost62%

under 10.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 10 of the visitors' last 10 (59% of league matches); 9.1 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 7.6 in the visitors', league average 10.2

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 4.5Won67%

    our numbers: 3.8 cards against a league average of 4.1; referee Yige Dai averages 3.0 cards a match, league average 4.1

For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Lost50%

under 9.5 corners in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 10 of the visitors' last 10 (50% of league matches); 9.1 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 7.6 in the visitors', league average 10.2

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLiaoning Tieren120834%35%Draw26%28%Henan Songshan Longmen130540%36%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%54%O2.557%49%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Henan Songshan Longmen4:0Liaoning TierenL
Liaoning Tieren's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss4.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners9.7league 10.2under 10.5: 62%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 16
Cardsleague cards3.8league 4.1under 4.5: 67%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.won · ended 4
RefereeY. Dai−1.3 cards vs average6 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.6total 3.0Attack/defence1.3 : 1.4total 2.6
Liaoning Tieren : Henan Songshan Longmen
Most likely scores
Market1-112%0-17%1-29%1-06%2-18%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%0-110%1-29%1-09%2-18%0-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%0-10-17%0-110%1-21-29%1-29%1-01-06%1-09%2-12-18%2-18%0-00-0—0-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%74%74%
12 – no draw74%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%66%66%
Under 3.5 goals65%73%73%
Both teams to score: yes61%54%54%
1X – home team avoid defeat60%61%61%
Over 2.5 goals57%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals43%51%51%
2 – Henan Songshan Longmen win40%39% · Elo 36%39%· Elo 36%
Both teams to score: no39%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals35%27%27%
1 – Liaoning Tieren win34%34% · Elo 35%34%· Elo 35%
X – draw26%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals19%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Liaoning Tieren attack vs Henan Songshan Longmen defenceattack1415defence1557−142 pts to the attack
Henan Songshan Longmen attack vs Liaoning Tieren defenceattack1469defence1423+46 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Henan Songshan Longmen matches average only 7.6 corners (league 10.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Liaoning Tieren score a lot late on: 12 of 29 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Liaoning Tieren: newly promoted
  • Liaoning Tieren: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Henan Songshan Longmen: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Liaoning Tieren

Henan Songshan Longmen

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Henan Songshan Longmen27810935:3728
14Liaoning Tieren27751535:4826
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Liaoning Tieren vs Henan Songshan Longmen?

Liaoning Tieren 4-4 Henan Songshan Longmen (half time 0-2).

Did the Liaoning Tieren vs Henan Songshan Longmen tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip lost.

See also