Liaoning Tieren 1-2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Tiexi Stadium, Shenyang
Referee:
Jingyuan Jin

The match in numbers

1X2EloLiaoning Tieren120842%50%Draw25%26%Shenzhen Xinpengcheng119433%23%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%57%O2.560%54%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1:0Liaoning TierenL
Liaoning Tieren's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss1.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.1under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.1league 4.2under 4.5: 62%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 4
RefereeJ. Jin−1.4 cards vs average2 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.5total 3.2Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.9
Liaoning Tieren : Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-07%1-28%2-0—0-1—2-26%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-27%2-08%0-17%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-07%1-09%1-21-28%1-27%2-02-0—2-08%0-10-1—0-17%2-22-26%2-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%78%78%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat67%71%71%
Both teams to score: yes63%57%57%
Under 3.5 goals62%68%68%
Over 2.5 goals60%54%54%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%54%54%
1 – Liaoning Tieren win42%46% · Elo 50%46%· Elo 50%
Under 2.5 goals40%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals38%32%32%
Both teams to score: no37%43%43%
2 – Shenzhen Xinpengcheng win33%29% · Elo 23%29%· Elo 23%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals17%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Liaoning Tieren attack vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng defenceattack1422defence1411+11 pts to the attack
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng attack vs Liaoning Tieren defenceattack1422defence14220 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Shenzhen Xinpengcheng concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Liaoning Tieren: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Shenzhen Xinpengcheng concede a lot late on: 15 of 36 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Liaoning Tieren score a lot late on: 12 of 28 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Liaoning Tieren: newly promoted
  • Liaoning Tieren: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Shenzhen Xinpengcheng: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Shenzhen Xinpengcheng27851436:4729
14Liaoning Tieren27751535:4826
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Liaoning Tieren vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?

Liaoning Tieren 1-2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (half time 1-1).