Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 22
Beijing Guoan 4-0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Workers Stadium, Beijing
- Referee:
- Ren Tong
Our tips
Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesLost65%
Beijing Guoan: scored in each of their last 14 league matches
Other tips
- Cards: Under 4.5Lost62%
our numbers: 4.0 cards against a league average of 4.2
For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%58%O2.571%66%|exp. goals 2.4 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng0:1Beijing GuoanW
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng2:1Beijing GuoanL
- Beijing Guoan3:1Shenzhen XinpengchengW
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1:0Beijing GuoanL
- Beijing Guoan1:2Shenzhen XinpengchengL
Beijing Guoan's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.2under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.0league 4.2under 4.5: 62%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.lost · ended 5
RefereeR. Tong−0.9 cards vs average5 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.5 : 1.2total 3.7Attack/defence2.4 : 1.0total 3.4
Beijing Guoan : Shenzhen XinpengchengMost likely scores
Market2-19%2-08%1-18%3-18%1-0—3-06%Attack/defence2-110%2-010%1-18%3-18%1-08%3-08%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-19%2-110%2-02-08%2-010%1-11-18%1-18%3-13-18%3-18%1-01-0—1-08%3-03-06%3-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 89%85% | 85% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 83%86% | 86% |
| 12 – no draw | 81%81% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71%66% | 66% |
| 1 – Beijing Guoan win | 65%67% · Elo 68% | 67%· Elo 68% |
| Our tip: Both teams to score: yes | 65%58% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50%44% | 44% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 50%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 35%42% | 42% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 34%33% | 33% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 29%34% | 34% |
| X – draw | 18%19% · Elo 20% | 19%· Elo 20% |
| 2 – Shenzhen Xinpengcheng win | 16%14% · Elo 13% | 14%· Elo 13% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11%15% | 15% |
Attack vs defence
Beijing Guoan attack vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng defenceattack1629defence1423+206 pts to the attack
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng attack vs Beijing Guoan defenceattack1424defence1542−118 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Beijing Guoan concede a lot late on: 11 of 27 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng concede a lot late on: 14 of 32 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Beijing Guoan: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
Beijing Guoan
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52:33 | 41 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:47 | 29 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
Beijing Guoan 4-0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (half time 2-0).
Did the Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip lost.