Beijing Guoan 2-1 Zhejiang Professional: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Workers Stadium, Beijing
Referee:
Liang Songshang

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Lost60%

8.8 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.0 in the visitors', league average 10.2; under 10.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (60% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon67%

    Beijing Guoan: scored in each of their last 13 league matches

  • Match Result: Beijing GuoanWon61%

    Beijing Guoan: won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Lost48%

8.8 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.0 in the visitors', league average 10.2

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBeijing Guoan146461%53%Draw20%26%Zhejiang Professional132019%22%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%67%O2.572%71%|exp. goals 2.3 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Zhejiang Professional0:0Beijing GuoanD
  2. Zhejiang Professional3:4Beijing GuoanW
  3. Beijing Guoan2:0Zhejiang ProfessionalW
  4. Beijing Guoan0:0Zhejiang ProfessionalD
  5. Zhejiang Professional1:2Beijing GuoanW
Beijing Guoan's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.2under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.5league 4.2under 4.5: 54%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 3
RefereeL. Songshang+1.4 cards vs average6 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 1.3total 3.7Attack/defence2.3 : 1.3total 3.7
Beijing Guoan : Zhejiang Professional
Most likely scores
Market2-19%1-18%3-17%2-07%2-26%1-0—Attack/defence2-19%1-18%3-17%2-07%2-26%1-06%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-19%2-19%1-11-18%1-18%3-13-17%3-17%2-02-07%2-07%2-22-26%2-26%1-01-0—1-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals89%88%88%
1X – home team avoid defeat81%79%79%
12 – no draw80%80%80%
Over 2.5 goals72%71%71%
Both teams to score: yes67%67%67%
1 – Beijing Guoan win61%60% · Elo 53%60%· Elo 53%
Over 3.5 goals51%50%50%
Under 3.5 goals49%50%50%
X2 – away team avoid defeat39%40%40%
Both teams to score: no33%34%34%
Under 2.5 goals28%29%29%
X – draw20%20% · Elo 26%20%· Elo 26%
2 – Zhejiang Professional win19%21% · Elo 22%21%· Elo 22%
Under 1.5 goals11%12%12%
Attack vs defence
Beijing Guoan attack vs Zhejiang Professional defenceattack1628defence1432+196 pts to the attack
Zhejiang Professional attack vs Beijing Guoan defenceattack1565defence1541+24 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Zhejiang Professional concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Beijing Guoan concede a lot late on: 11 of 26 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Beijing Guoan: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Zhejiang Professional: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Beijing Guoan271210552:3341
10Zhejiang Professional271061147:4731
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Beijing Guoan vs Zhejiang Professional?

Beijing Guoan 2-1 Zhejiang Professional (half time 1-1).

Did the Beijing Guoan vs Zhejiang Professional tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip lost.