Chongqing Tonglianglong 0-1 Dalian Yingbo: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Longxing Football Stadium, Chongqing
Referee:
Wei Li

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won63%

2.7 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.4 in the visitors', league average 4.1

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won44%

under 3.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 10 (39% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloChongqing Tonglianglong121542%41%Draw29%28%Dalian Yingbo129229%31%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%49%O2.546%43%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Dalian Yingbo1:0Chongqing TonglianglongL
Chongqing Tonglianglong's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss1.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.2under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.0league 4.1under 4.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 0
RefereeW. Lifirst match in our data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.1total 2.5Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.4
Chongqing Tonglianglong : Dalian Yingbo
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-010%0-18%0-09%2-19%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-19%0-09%2-19%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-010%1-011%0-10-18%0-19%0-00-09%0-09%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-0—2-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals76%77%77%
Over 1.5 goals72%70%70%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%69%69%
12 – no draw71%72%72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%59%59%
Under 2.5 goals54%57%57%
Both teams to score: yes51%49%49%
Both teams to score: no49%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals46%43%43%
1 – Chongqing Tonglianglong win42%41% · Elo 41%41%· Elo 41%
X – draw29%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
2 – Dalian Yingbo win29%31% · Elo 31%31%· Elo 31%
Under 1.5 goals28%30%30%
Over 3.5 goals24%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Chongqing Tonglianglong attack vs Dalian Yingbo defenceattack1359defence1479−120 pts to the attack
Dalian Yingbo attack vs Chongqing Tonglianglong defenceattack1423defence1505−82 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Chongqing Tonglianglong matches average only 2.7 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Chongqing Tonglianglong: no win in 7 matches
  • Chongqing Tonglianglong: newly promoted
  • Chongqing Tonglianglong: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Dalian Yingbo: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Dalian Yingbo271341042:4243
9Chongqing Tonglianglong27711928:3332
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Dalian Yingbo?

Chongqing Tonglianglong 0-1 Dalian Yingbo (half time 0-0).

Did the Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Dalian Yingbo tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.