Shandong Luneng 1-1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Jinan Olympic Sports Center, Jinan
Referee:
Memetjan Ahmat

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: Shandong LunengLost65%

Shandong Luneng: won 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; won 6 of their last 10 league matches

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost64%

    over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

  • Cards: Under 4.5Won63%

    under 4.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (58% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloShandong Luneng139165%67%Draw19%20%Shenzhen Xinpengcheng119416%13%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%58%O2.564%64%|exp. goals 2.3 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1:2Shandong LunengW
  2. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1:3Shandong LunengW
  3. Shandong Luneng4:0Shenzhen XinpengchengW
  4. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1:4Shandong LunengW
  5. Shandong Luneng3:2Shenzhen XinpengchengW
Shandong Luneng's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.2under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 4
Cardsleague cards4.0league 4.1under 4.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 4
RefereeM. Ahmat+0.1 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.0total 3.3Attack/defence2.3 : 1.1total 3.3
Shandong Luneng : Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Most likely scores
Market2-110%2-010%1-19%1-08%3-17%3-0—Attack/defence2-110%2-09%1-19%1-08%3-17%3-07%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-110%2-110%2-02-010%2-09%1-11-19%1-19%1-01-08%1-08%3-13-17%3-17%3-03-0—3-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals85%84%84%
1X – home team avoid defeat84%84%84%
12 – no draw81%81%81%
Our tip: 1 – Shandong Luneng win65%65% · Elo 67%65%· Elo 67%
Over 2.5 goals64%64%64%
Under 3.5 goals58%58%58%
Both teams to score: yes58%58%58%
Over 3.5 goals42%42%42%
Both teams to score: no42%42%42%
Under 2.5 goals36%36%36%
X2 – away team avoid defeat35%35%35%
X – draw19%19% · Elo 20%19%· Elo 20%
2 – Shenzhen Xinpengcheng win16%16% · Elo 13%16%· Elo 13%
Under 1.5 goals15%16%16%
Attack vs defence
Shandong Luneng attack vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng defenceattack1611defence1429+182 pts to the attack
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng attack vs Shandong Luneng defenceattack1406defence1511−105 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Shenzhen Xinpengcheng concede a lot late on: 14 of 32 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Shandong Luneng: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Shenzhen Xinpengcheng: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Shandong Luneng27135947:4438
11Shenzhen Xinpengcheng27851436:4729
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Shandong Luneng vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?

Shandong Luneng 1-1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (half time 1-0).

Did the Shandong Luneng vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Shandong Luneng. The tip lost.