Shanghai Shenhua 2-3 Shandong Luneng: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai
Referee:
Kai He

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won59%

our numbers: 4.1 goals in total in this match, league average 3.1

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 4.5Won67%

    3.2 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.4 in the visitors', league average 4.1; our numbers: 3.8 cards against a league average of 4.1

  • Match Result: Shanghai ShenhuaLost60%

    Shanghai Shenhua: won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 3:1Lost7%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloShanghai Shenhua143360%48%Draw19%27%Shandong Luneng139121%25%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS73%65%O2.578%66%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Shandong Luneng4:1Shanghai ShenhuaL
  2. Shanghai Shenhua3:3Shandong LunengD
  3. Shandong Luneng0:1Shanghai ShenhuaW
  4. Shanghai Shenhua6:0Shandong LunengW
  5. Shandong Luneng0:3Shanghai ShenhuaW
Shanghai Shenhua's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.2under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards3.8league 4.1under 4.5: 67%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 3
RefereeK. He−1.0 cards vs average5 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.6 : 1.5total 4.1Attack/defence2.0 : 1.4total 3.4
Shanghai Shenhua : Shandong Luneng
Most likely scores
Market1-17%2-18%3-17%2-06%2-26%1-2—1-0—Attack/defence1-110%2-19%3-1—2-07%2-27%1-26%1-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-17%1-110%2-12-18%2-19%3-13-17%3-1—2-02-06%2-07%2-22-26%2-27%1-21-2—1-26%1-01-0—1-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals92%85%85%
12 – no draw81%78%78%
1X – home team avoid defeat79%74%74%
Over 2.5 goals78%66%66%
Both teams to score: yes73%65%65%
1 – Shanghai Shenhua win60%52% · Elo 48%52%· Elo 48%
Our tip: Over 3.5 goals59%44%44%
Under 3.5 goals41%56%56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat40%48%48%
Both teams to score: no27%35%35%
Under 2.5 goals22%34%34%
2 – Shandong Luneng win21%26% · Elo 25%26%· Elo 25%
X – draw19%22% · Elo 27%22%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals8%15%15%
Attack vs defence
Shanghai Shenhua attack vs Shandong Luneng defenceattack1624defence1506+118 pts to the attack
Shandong Luneng attack vs Shanghai Shenhua defenceattack1601defence1550+51 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Shanghai Shenhua concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Shanghai Shenhua: 6 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Shandong Luneng: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Shandong Luneng27135947:4438
8Shanghai Shenhua27135959:4734
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng?

Shanghai Shenhua 2-3 Shandong Luneng (half time 2-1).

Did the Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 3.5. The tip won.