Chengdu Rongcheng 4-5 Shanghai Shenhua: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Shuangliu Sports Centre, Chengdu
Referee:
Jianxin Du

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won67%

our numbers: 3.8 cards against a league average of 4.2

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won48%

our numbers: 3.8 cards against a league average of 4.2

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloChengdu Rongcheng146052%52%Draw23%26%Shanghai Shenhua143326%23%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS68%56%O2.570%54%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Shanghai Shenhua2:3Chengdu RongchengW
  2. Shanghai Shenhua1:1Chengdu RongchengD
  3. Chengdu Rongcheng1:0Shanghai ShenhuaW
  4. Chengdu Rongcheng1:2Shanghai ShenhuaL
  5. Shanghai Shenhua1:1Chengdu RongchengD
Chengdu Rongcheng's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.1under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.8league 4.2under 4.5: 67%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 3
RefereeJ. Du−2.3 cards vs average3 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.5total 3.6Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.8
Chengdu Rongcheng : Shanghai Shenhua
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-19%1-0—2-0—2-27%1-26%0-1—3-16%Attack/defence1-112%2-110%1-010%2-08%2-2—1-27%0-17%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-112%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-0—1-010%2-02-0—2-08%2-22-27%2-2—1-21-26%1-27%0-10-1—0-17%3-13-16%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals88%77%77%
12 – no draw78%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat75%74%74%
Over 2.5 goals70%54%54%
Both teams to score: yes68%56%56%
1 – Chengdu Rongcheng win52%49% · Elo 52%49%· Elo 52%
Under 3.5 goals52%69%69%
X2 – away team avoid defeat49%51%51%
Over 3.5 goals48%31%31%
Both teams to score: no32%44%44%
Under 2.5 goals30%47%47%
2 – Shanghai Shenhua win26%26% · Elo 23%26%· Elo 23%
X – draw23%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals12%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Chengdu Rongcheng attack vs Shanghai Shenhua defenceattack1583defence1562+21 pts to the attack
Shanghai Shenhua attack vs Chengdu Rongcheng defenceattack1604defence1649−45 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Chengdu Rongcheng score a lot late on: 16 of 36 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Chengdu Rongcheng: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Shanghai Shenhua: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng27157551:3152
8Shanghai Shenhua27135959:4734
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Chengdu Rongcheng 4-5 Shanghai Shenhua (half time 2-1).

Did the Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shanghai Shenhua tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.