Shandong Luneng 2-1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Jinan Olympic Sports Center, Jinan
Referee:
Alexander King

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Won59%

9.7 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.2 in the visitors', league average 10.2

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 4.5Won61%

    our numbers: 4.1 cards against a league average of 4.2

For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Won47%

under 9.5 corners in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (51% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloShandong Luneng139156%51%Draw23%26%Tianjin Jinmen Tiger133421%23%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%58%O2.561%57%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1:2Shandong LunengW
  2. Shandong Luneng2:1Tianjin Jinmen TigerW
  3. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1:0Shandong LunengL
  4. Shandong Luneng4:1Tianjin Jinmen TigerW
  5. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1:1Shandong LunengD
Shandong Luneng's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.2under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards4.1league 4.2under 4.5: 61%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 4
RefereeA. Kingfirst match in our data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.2total 3.2Attack/defence1.8 : 1.2total 3.0
Shandong Luneng : Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-110%2-09%1-08%3-17%1-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%2-09%1-09%3-16%1-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-09%1-01-08%1-09%3-13-17%3-16%1-21-2—1-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%80%80%
1X – home team avoid defeat79%77%77%
12 – no draw77%77%77%
Over 2.5 goals61%57%57%
Under 3.5 goals61%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes60%58%58%
1 – Shandong Luneng win56%53% · Elo 51%53%· Elo 51%
X2 – away team avoid defeat44%47%47%
Both teams to score: no40%42%42%
Under 2.5 goals39%43%43%
Over 3.5 goals39%35%35%
X – draw23%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
2 – Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win21%23% · Elo 23%23%· Elo 23%
Under 1.5 goals17%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Shandong Luneng attack vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger defenceattack1617defence1540+77 pts to the attack
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger attack vs Shandong Luneng defenceattack1460defence1504−44 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Shandong Luneng concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 4 wins in a row
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger score a lot late on: 14 of 29 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Shandong Luneng: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Shandong Luneng27135947:4438
12Tianjin Jinmen Tiger27108937:3228
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Shandong Luneng vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?

Shandong Luneng 2-1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (half time 0-0).

Did the Shandong Luneng vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip won.