Shandong Luneng 3-1 Qingdao Hainiu: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Jinan Olympic Sports Center, Jinan
Referee:
Ning Ma

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Won61%

9.5 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.5 in the visitors', league average 10.2

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won72%

    our numbers: 3.7 goals in total in this match, league average 3.1

  • Match Result: Shandong LunengWon76%

    Qingdao Hainiu: winless in their last 6 league matches

For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Won49%

9.5 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.5 in the visitors', league average 10.2

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloShandong Luneng139176%66%Draw14%20%Qingdao Hainiu116010%14%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%59%O2.572%64%|exp. goals 2.2 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Qingdao Hainiu4:1Shandong LunengL
  2. Qingdao Hainiu2:2Shandong LunengD
  3. Shandong Luneng1:1Qingdao HainiuD
  4. Shandong Luneng1:1Qingdao HainiuD
  5. Qingdao Hainiu0:1Shandong LunengW
Shandong Luneng's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.2under 10.5: 61%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.2under 4.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 3
RefereeN. Ma+1.3 cards vs average5 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.8 : 0.9total 3.7Attack/defence2.2 : 1.1total 3.3
Shandong Luneng : Qingdao Hainiu
Most likely scores
Market2-19%2-09%1-17%3-09%1-0—3-18%Attack/defence2-110%2-09%1-19%3-07%1-08%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-19%2-110%2-02-09%2-09%1-11-17%1-19%3-03-09%3-07%1-01-0—1-08%3-13-18%3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat90%83%83%
Over 1.5 goals89%84%84%
12 – no draw86%80%80%
1 – Shandong Luneng win76%63% · Elo 66%63%· Elo 66%
Over 2.5 goals72%64%64%
Both teams to score: yes58%59%59%
Over 3.5 goals52%42%42%
Under 3.5 goals48%58%58%
Both teams to score: no42%41%41%
Under 2.5 goals28%36%36%
X2 – away team avoid defeat24%37%37%
X – draw14%20% · Elo 20%20%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals11%16%16%
2 – Qingdao Hainiu win10%17% · Elo 14%17%· Elo 14%
Attack vs defence
Shandong Luneng attack vs Qingdao Hainiu defenceattack1613defence1432+181 pts to the attack
Qingdao Hainiu attack vs Shandong Luneng defenceattack1420defence1504−84 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Qingdao Hainiu concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Shandong Luneng concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Qingdao Hainiu: 5 defeats in a row
  • Qingdao Hainiu: only 4 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 10 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Shandong Luneng: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Qingdao Hainiu: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Shandong Luneng27135947:4438
16Qingdao Hainiu27631834:5614
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Hainiu?

Shandong Luneng 3-1 Qingdao Hainiu (half time 2-1).

Did the Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Hainiu tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip won.