1. LigaMatchday 9

Mlada Boleslav 2-0 Brno: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Lokotrans Arena, Mlada Boleslav
Referee:
Dominik Stary

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won67%

3.7 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.9 in the visitors', league average 4.1

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won48%

3.7 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.9 in the visitors', league average 4.1

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMlada Boleslav157541%52%Draw27%26%Brno148332%22%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%56%O2.555%55%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Mlada Boleslav0:0BrnoD
  2. Brno3:1Mlada BoleslavL
  3. Brno2:3Mlada BoleslavW
  4. Mlada Boleslav1:1BrnoD
  5. Brno0:3Mlada BoleslavW
Mlada Boleslav's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.9over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 12
Cardsleague cards3.8league 4.1under 4.5: 67%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 2
RefereeD. Stary−0.2 cards vs average31 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.3total 2.8Attack/defence1.8 : 1.1total 2.9
Mlada Boleslav : Brno
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-08%2-0—1-28%0-17%0-0—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-010%2-09%1-26%0-1—0-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-08%1-010%2-02-0—2-09%1-21-28%1-26%0-10-17%0-1—0-00-0—0-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%79%79%
12 – no draw73%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%77%77%
Under 3.5 goals67%67%67%
X2 – away team avoid defeat59%47%47%
Both teams to score: yes59%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals55%55%55%
Under 2.5 goals45%45%45%
1 – Mlada Boleslav win41%53% · Elo 52%53%· Elo 52%
Both teams to score: no41%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals33%33%33%
2 – Brno win32%23% · Elo 22%23%· Elo 22%
X – draw27%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals21%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Mlada Boleslav attack vs Brno defenceattack1528defence1430+98 pts to the attack
Brno attack vs Mlada Boleslav defenceattack1421defence1433−12 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Mlada Boleslav matches average only 2.8 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Brno: newly promoted
  • Mlada Boleslav: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Brno: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Mlada Boleslav952217:1217
8Brno1051412:1316
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Mlada Boleslav vs Brno?

Mlada Boleslav 2-0 Brno (half time 1-0).

Did the Mlada Boleslav vs Brno tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.