1. LigaMatchday 4

Sparta Prague 4-1 Teplice: prediction, tips and result

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4-1Full time(half time 3-1)
Stadium:
epet ARENA, Prague
Referee:
Dalibor Cerny

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won67%

referee Dalibor Cerny averages 3.7 cards a match, league average 4.1

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won48%

referee Dalibor Cerny averages 3.7 cards a match, league average 4.1

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSparta Prague176168%63%Draw19%22%Teplice157213%16%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%53%O2.560%56%|exp. goals 2.0 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Teplice0:1Sparta PragueW
  2. Sparta Prague2:2TepliceD
  3. Sparta Prague1:1TepliceD
  4. Teplice1:4Sparta PragueW
  5. Sparta Prague2:1TepliceW
Sparta Prague's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.9over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 17
Cardsleague cards3.8league 4.1under 4.5: 67%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 3
RefereeD. Cerny−0.6 cards vs average32 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 0.9total 3.1Attack/defence2.0 : 0.9total 2.9
Sparta Prague : Teplice
Most likely scores
Market2-011%1-09%1-19%2-110%3-08%3-1—Attack/defence2-011%1-010%1-110%2-110%3-07%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-011%2-011%1-01-09%1-010%1-11-19%1-110%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-08%3-07%3-13-1—3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat87%84%84%
Over 1.5 goals82%79%79%
12 – no draw81%79%79%
1 – Sparta Prague win68%62% · Elo 63%62%· Elo 63%
Under 3.5 goals63%66%66%
Over 2.5 goals60%56%56%
Both teams to score: yes52%53%53%
Both teams to score: no48%47%47%
Under 2.5 goals40%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals37%34%34%
X2 – away team avoid defeat32%38%38%
X – draw19%22% · Elo 22%22%· Elo 22%
Under 1.5 goals18%21%21%
2 – Teplice win13%16% · Elo 16%16%· Elo 16%
Attack vs defence
Sparta Prague attack vs Teplice defenceattack1625defence1471+154 pts to the attack
Teplice attack vs Sparta Prague defenceattack1466defence1580−114 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Teplice: unbeaten in 8 matches
  • Teplice: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Sparta Prague: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Teplice: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Sparta Prague1060420:1218
4Teplice1052318:1617
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sparta Prague vs Teplice?

Sparta Prague 4-1 Teplice (half time 3-1).

Did the Sparta Prague vs Teplice tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.