1. DivisionMatchday 11
Aalborg vs Vejle: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 7hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%61%O2.562%59%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Aalborg0:1VejleL
- Vejle1:1AalborgD
- Aalborg3:3VejleD
- Vejle2:2AalborgD
- Aalborg0:0VejleD
Aalborg's record: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.0league 3.2under 3.5: 65%Expected yellow cards: 3.0 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.8total 3.2Attack/defence1.5 : 1.5total 3.0
Aalborg : VejleMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-17%0-17%0-27%1-0—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%1-28%2-18%0-17%0-2—1-07%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-17%2-18%0-10-17%0-17%0-20-27%0-2—1-01-0—1-07%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 70%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63%61% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62%59% | 59% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%64% | 64% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 55%63% | 63% |
| 2 – Vejle win | 45%37% · Elo 49% | 37%· Elo 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%36% | 36% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38%42% | 42% |
| Both teams to score: no | 37%39% | 39% |
| 1 – Aalborg win | 30%38% · Elo 25% | 38%· Elo 25% |
| X – draw | 25%25% · Elo 26% | 25%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Aalborg attack vs Vejle defenceattack1509defence1469+40 pts to the attack
Vejle attack vs Aalborg defenceattack1588defence1492+96 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 9.5 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.560%53%
9.548%45%
10.536%37%
11.526%28%
Each team on its own
Aalborgwe expect 4.7, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 50%
Vejlewe expect 5.1, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 56%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 50%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 19.7 in this match, 19.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.557%50%
19.550%45%
20.542%43%
21.535%40%
Each team on its own
Aalborgwe expect 8.9, league average 9.5 · chance of over 9.5: 40%
Vejlewe expect 10.9, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 52%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 61%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.561%62%
3.539%42%
4.522%28%
5.511%18%
Each team on its own
Aalborgwe expect 1.4, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
Vejlewe expect 1.7, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 50%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Vejle matches average only 1.9 cards (league 3.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Vejle score 2.3 goals per game
- Vejle: newly promoted
- Aalborg: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Vejle: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Vejle | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 23:15 | 19 |
| 4 | Aalborg | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:14 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Aalborg vs Vejle?
Vejle are the favourites. Chances: Aalborg win 30%, draw 25%, Vejle win 45%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Aalborg vs Vejle?
Expected goals: 3.2 (Aalborg 1.4, Vejle 1.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 62%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Aalborg vs Vejle?
The chance that both teams score is 63%.
When is Aalborg vs Vejle?
The 1. Division match kicks off 17 October 2026, 12:30 (UK time).