1. DivisionMatchday 10

Esbjerg 3-3 Aalborg: prediction, tips and result

·

Esbjerg
2-40-20-12-20-3
3-3Full time(half time 2-2)
Aalborg
2-22-22-00-01-2
Stadium:
Blue Water Arena, Esbjerg

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Corners: Over 9.5Lost56%

over 9.5 corners in 8 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 9 (53% of league matches); 11.9 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 10.1 in the visitors', league average 9.9

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won61%

    our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloEsbjerg126733%34%Draw26%28%Aalborg131741%38%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%59%O2.562%55%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Aalborg1:1EsbjergD
  2. Esbjerg1:0AalborgW
  3. Esbjerg1:1AalborgD
  4. Aalborg4:0EsbjergL
  5. Esbjerg1:4AalborgL
Esbjerg's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 9.9over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.1league 3.2under 3.5: 63%Expected yellow cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.won · ended 1
Refereeno referee data
Dutching(several bets at once)74%O2.51:1coverageleague 65% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.7total 3.2Attack/defence1.5 : 1.4total 2.9
Esbjerg : Aalborg
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-18%1-0—0-16%2-27%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-28%2-19%1-08%0-17%2-2—2-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-19%1-01-0—1-08%0-10-16%0-17%2-22-27%2-2—2-02-0—2-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%79%79%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat67%61%61%
Both teams to score: yes64%59%59%
Over 2.5 goals62%55%55%
Under 3.5 goals60%67%67%
1X – home team avoid defeat59%65%65%
2 – Aalborg win41%35% · Elo 38%35%· Elo 38%
Over 3.5 goals40%33%33%
Under 2.5 goals38%45%45%
Both teams to score: no36%41%41%
1 – Esbjerg win33%39% · Elo 34%39%· Elo 34%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals16%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Esbjerg attack vs Aalborg defenceattack1518defence1494+24 pts to the attack
Aalborg attack vs Esbjerg defenceattack1503defence1448+55 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 9.0 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.554%54%
9.541%45%
10.530%38%
11.521%29%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Esbjergwe expect 4.7, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 49%
Aalborgwe expect 4.3, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 43%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 61%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 18.4 in this match, 19.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
18.547%48%
19.539%43%
20.532%43%
21.525%39%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Esbjergwe expect 9.3, league average 9.2 · chance of over 9.5: 44%
Aalborgwe expect 8.8, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 28%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 3.8 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.572%59%
3.552%41%
4.533%27%
5.519%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Esbjergwe expect 2.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 65%
Aalborgwe expect 1.5, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 44%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Esbjerg concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Esbjerg matches average 12.3 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Esbjerg: no win in 7 matches
  • Esbjerg: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Esbjerg: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Aalborg: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Esbjerg

Aalborg

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Aalborg1035214:1414
12Esbjerg1013613:226
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Esbjerg vs Aalborg?

Esbjerg 3-3 Aalborg (half time 2-2).

Did the Esbjerg vs Aalborg tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 9.5. The tip lost.

See also