1. DivisionMatchday 7

Fredericia 1-0 Esbjerg: prediction, tips and result

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Fredericia
1-11-13-00-01-2
1-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Esbjerg
0-22-41-21-23-2
Stadium:
Monjasa Park, Fredericia

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Over 9.5Lost64%

over 9.5 corners in 6 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 6 (54% of league matches); 13.2 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 12.3 in the visitors', league average 10.0

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost72%

    our numbers: 3.8 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8

  • Match Result: FredericiaWon67%

    Fredericia: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Corners: Over 11.5Lost41%

13.2 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 12.3 in the visitors', league average 10.0; over 11.5 corners in 4 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 6 (31% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloFredericia147267%59%Draw17%23%Esbjerg126715%18%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%60%O2.572%57%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Fredericia1:1EsbjergD
  2. Esbjerg0:2FredericiaW
  3. Esbjerg0:3FredericiaW
  4. Fredericia4:0EsbjergW
  5. Esbjerg1:2FredericiaW
Fredericia's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.9league 10.0over 9.5: 64%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 6
Cardsleague cards3.1league 3.3under 3.5: 63%Expected cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 7%.won · ended 3
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.6 : 1.2total 3.8Attack/defence1.6 : 1.4total 3.0
Fredericia : Esbjerg
Most likely scores
Market1-18%2-19%2-08%3-18%1-0—1-2—3-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%2-07%3-1—1-08%1-28%3-0—0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-08%2-07%3-13-18%3-1—1-01-0—1-08%1-21-2—1-28%3-03-07%3-0—0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals89%80%80%
1X – home team avoid defeat84%68%68%
12 – no draw82%75%75%
Over 2.5 goals72%57%57%
1 – Fredericia win67%43% · Elo 59%43%· Elo 59%
Both teams to score: yes64%60%60%
Over 3.5 goals51%35%35%
Under 3.5 goals49%65%65%
Both teams to score: no36%40%40%
X2 – away team avoid defeat32%57%57%
Under 2.5 goals28%43%43%
X – draw17%25% · Elo 23%25%· Elo 23%
2 – Esbjerg win15%32% · Elo 18%32%· Elo 18%
Under 1.5 goals11%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Fredericia attack vs Esbjerg defenceattack1530defence1466+64 pts to the attack
Esbjerg attack vs Fredericia defenceattack1539defence1503+36 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Esbjerg: 4 defeats in a row
  • Fredericia: newly promoted
  • Fredericia: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Esbjerg: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

Fredericia

Esbjerg

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Fredericia1045114:617
12Esbjerg1013613:226
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Fredericia vs Esbjerg?

Fredericia 1-0 Esbjerg (half time 0-0).

Did the Fredericia vs Esbjerg tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 9.5. The tip lost.

See also