SuperligaMatchday 5

Aarhus 2-2 Odense: prediction, tips and result

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2-2Full time(half time 1-2)
Stadium:
Vejlby Stadion, Aarhus
Referee:
Mads-Kristoffer Kristoffersen

The match in numbers

1X2EloAarhus170650%60%Draw25%23%Odense158426%17%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%55%O2.560%56%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Aarhus2:1OdenseW
  2. Odense1:5AarhusW
  3. Aarhus1:1OdenseD
  4. Odense1:1AarhusD
  5. Aarhus1:0OdenseW
Aarhus's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 9.9over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 15
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.4under 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.lost · ended 6
RefereeM.-K. Kristoffersen+0.5 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.3total 3.1Attack/defence1.9 : 1.0total 2.9
Aarhus : Odense
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-110%1-07%2-08%1-27%3-1—3-0—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-010%2-010%1-2—3-16%3-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-07%1-010%2-02-08%2-010%1-21-27%1-2—3-13-1—3-16%3-03-0—3-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%79%79%
12 – no draw76%77%77%
1X – home team avoid defeat75%80%80%
Under 3.5 goals62%66%66%
Both teams to score: yes61%55%55%
Over 2.5 goals60%56%56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat51%43%43%
1 – Aarhus win50%57% · Elo 60%57%· Elo 60%
Under 2.5 goals40%44%44%
Both teams to score: no39%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals38%34%34%
2 – Odense win26%20% · Elo 17%20%· Elo 17%
X – draw25%23% · Elo 23%23%· Elo 23%
Under 1.5 goals18%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Aarhus attack vs Odense defenceattack1571defence1466+105 pts to the attack
Odense attack vs Aarhus defenceattack1433defence1561−128 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Odense matches average only 1.9 cards (league 3.4) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Odense matches average 12.6 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Aarhus concede a lot late on: 8 of 20 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Aarhus: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Odense: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Odense102448:1410
10Aarhus1015414:178
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Aarhus vs Odense?

Aarhus 2-2 Odense (half time 1-2).