SuperligaMatchday 10

Brondby 5-2 Lyngby: prediction, tips and result

·

Brondby
3-11-30-31-40-1
5-2Full time(half time 3-0)
Lyngby
0-41-12-01-11-2
Stadium:
Brøndby Stadium, Copenhagen
Referee:
Jakob A Sundberg

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Over 3.5Won57%

over 3.5 card points in 8 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 9 (51% of league matches); 4.7 card points a match in the hosts' matches, 4.6 in the visitors', league average 3.6; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Fouls: Over 23.5Won60%

    our numbers: 25.3 fouls against a league average of 20.7; 22.7 fouls a match in the hosts' matches, 26.9 in the visitors', league average 20.7

  • Shots on Target: Under 9.5Lost67%

    6.4 shots on target a match in the hosts' matches, 7.8 in the visitors', league average 9.0; under 9.5 shots on target in 8 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 9 (59% of league matches)

  • Offsides: Over 2.5Won64%

    our numbers: 3.3 offsides against a league average of 3.0

For the brave
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Over 4.5Won40%

over 4.5 card points in 5 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 9 (31% of league matches); 4.7 card points a match in the hosts' matches, 4.6 in the visitors', league average 3.6; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBrondby168857%62%Draw23%22%Lyngby148820%16%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%54%O2.561%54%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Brondby1:1LyngbyD
  2. Lyngby0:2BrondbyW
  3. Lyngby3:3BrondbyD
  4. Brondby3:0LyngbyW
  5. Lyngby1:0BrondbyL
Brondby's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 12
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.3over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 5
RefereeJ. A Sundberg+0.3 yellow cards vs average19 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)72%O2.51:1coverageleague 71% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.1total 3.1Attack/defence1.8 : 1.0total 2.8
Brondby : Lyngby
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-08%2-110%2-09%3-17%0-0—Attack/defence1-111%1-010%2-110%2-010%3-16%0-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-01-08%1-010%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-010%3-13-17%3-16%0-00-0—0-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%78%78%
1X – home team avoid defeat80%79%79%
12 – no draw77%76%76%
Under 3.5 goals62%68%68%
Over 2.5 goals61%54%54%
Both teams to score: yes59%54%54%
1 – Brondby win57%55% · Elo 62%55%· Elo 62%
X2 – away team avoid defeat43%45%45%
Both teams to score: no41%46%46%
Under 2.5 goals39%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals38%32%32%
X – draw23%24% · Elo 22%24%· Elo 22%
2 – Lyngby win20%21% · Elo 16%21%· Elo 16%
Under 1.5 goals17%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Brondby attack vs Lyngby defenceattack1495defence1420+75 pts to the attack
Lyngby attack vs Brondby defenceattack1417defence1550−133 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 67%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 33%
We expect 8.3 in this match, 9.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.545%53%
9.533%41%
10.523%34%
11.515%23%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Brondbywe expect 4.3, league average 5.0 · chance of over 4.5: 43%
Lyngbywe expect 3.6, league average 4.0 · chance of over 4.5: 29%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 78%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 22%over
We expect 25.3 in this match, 20.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.583%57%
20.578%50%
21.572%39%
22.566%33%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Brondbywe expect 11.8, league average 10.0 · chance of over 10.5: 61%
Lyngbywe expect 13.4, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 75%
Referee: 21.8 fouls per match on average (13 matches in our data)+1.6 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 64%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 36%over
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.584%81%
2.564%54%
3.542%34%
4.524%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Brondbywe expect 1.6, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
Lyngbywe expect 1.7, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 50%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Brondby matches average 5.2 cards (league 3.5) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Brondby: 4 defeats in a row
  • Lyngby: newly promoted
  • Brondby: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Lyngby: 23 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Brondby

Lyngby

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Brondby1051417:1716
11Lyngby1014512:217
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Brondby vs Lyngby?

Brondby 5-2 Lyngby (half time 3-0).

Did the Brondby vs Lyngby tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Over 3.5. The tip won.

See also