ChampionshipMatchday 2

Birmingham 2-2 Bristol City: prediction, tips and result

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2-2Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
St Andrew's Trillion Trophy Stadium, Birmingham
Referee:
Will Finnie

The match in numbers

1X2EloBirmingham159955%46%Draw25%27%Bristol City155619%27%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%48%O2.548%43%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Birmingham2:1Bristol CityW
  2. Bristol City1:0BirminghamL
  3. Birmingham0:0Bristol CityD
  4. Bristol City0:2BirminghamW
  5. Bristol City4:2BirminghamL
Birmingham's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.5under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.8over 3.5: 50%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 6%.lost · ended 3
RefereeW. Finnie−0.3 cards vs average28 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 0.9total 2.6Attack/defence1.4 : 1.0total 2.4
Birmingham : Bristol City
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-012%2-011%2-110%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%2-09%2-19%0-010%0-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-012%1-012%2-02-011%2-09%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-08%0-010%0-10-1—0-19%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat80%74%74%
12 – no draw74%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals74%69%69%
Under 3.5 goals73%78%78%
1 – Birmingham win55%46% · Elo 46%46%· Elo 46%
Under 2.5 goals52%57%57%
Both teams to score: yes50%48%48%
Both teams to score: no50%52%52%
Over 2.5 goals48%43%43%
X2 – away team avoid defeat44%54%54%
Over 3.5 goals27%22%22%
Under 1.5 goals26%31%31%
X – draw25%28% · Elo 27%28%· Elo 27%
2 – Bristol City win19%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
Attack vs defence
Birmingham attack vs Bristol City defenceattack1483defence1490−7 pts to the attack
Bristol City attack vs Birmingham defenceattack1467defence1547−80 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Birmingham1045117:1117
11Bristol City1042412:1414
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Birmingham vs Bristol City?

Birmingham 2-2 Bristol City (half time 1-1).