ChampionshipMatchday 2

Derby 2-2 Cardiff: prediction, tips and result

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2-2Full time(half time 1-2)
Stadium:
Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Referee:
Rueben Ricardo

The match in numbers

1X2EloDerby155345%51%Draw27%26%Cardiff147928%24%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%54%O2.552%50%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Cardiff2:1DerbyL
  2. Derby1:0CardiffW
  3. Derby0:1CardiffL
  4. Cardiff1:0DerbyL
  5. Cardiff4:0DerbyL
Derby's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeR. Ricardofirst match in our data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.2total 2.8Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.7
Derby : Cardiff
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-09%2-19%2-08%0-1—0-07%Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-18%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-09%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-08%2-08%0-10-1—0-18%0-00-07%0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals77%74%74%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat72%71%71%
Under 3.5 goals70%72%72%
Both teams to score: yes56%54%54%
X2 – away team avoid defeat55%55%55%
Over 2.5 goals52%50%50%
Under 2.5 goals48%51%51%
1 – Derby win45%45% · Elo 51%45%· Elo 51%
Both teams to score: no44%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals30%28%28%
2 – Cardiff win28%29% · Elo 24%29%· Elo 24%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals23%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Derby attack vs Cardiff defenceattack1514defence1489+25 pts to the attack
Cardiff attack vs Derby defenceattack1501defence15010 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Cardiff: newly promoted
  • Derby: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Cardiff: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
18Cardiff1024416:1510
23Derby91358:156
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Derby vs Cardiff?

Derby 2-2 Cardiff (half time 1-2).