ChampionshipMatchday 3
Middlesbrough 3-1 West Brom: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Riverside, Middlesbrough
- Referee:
- Paul Tierney
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%51%O2.555%47%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- West Brom2:3MiddlesbroughW
- Middlesbrough2:1West BromW
- Middlesbrough2:0West BromW
- West Brom0:1MiddlesbroughW
- Middlesbrough1:0West BromW
Middlesbrough's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.5under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards3.6league 3.9under 3.5: 52%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 1
RefereeP. Tierney−0.4 cards vs average21 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.0total 2.8Attack/defence1.5 : 1.0total 2.6
Middlesbrough : West BromMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-010%2-110%2-010%0-06%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%2-09%0-08%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-010%2-09%0-00-06%0-08%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 80%75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68%74% | 74% |
| 1 – Middlesbrough win | 56%49% · Elo 49% | 49%· Elo 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55%47% | 47% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: no | 45%49% | 49% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 44%51% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32%26% | 26% |
| X – draw | 24%26% · Elo 26% | 26%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%27% | 27% |
| 2 – West Brom win | 20%25% · Elo 25% | 25%· Elo 25% |
Attack vs defence
Middlesbrough attack vs West Brom defenceattack1581defence1546+35 pts to the attack
West Brom attack vs Middlesbrough defenceattack1499defence1561−62 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- West Brom concede only 0.6 goals per game
- Middlesbrough: only 13 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 18 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Middlesbrough: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- West Brom: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
Middlesbrough
West Brom
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 4 | West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 17 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Middlesbrough vs West Brom?
Middlesbrough 3-1 West Brom (half time 0-0).