ChampionshipMatchday 3
Norwich 4-1 Burnley: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Carrow Road, Norwich
- Referee:
- Elliot Bell
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%55%O2.558%52%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Burnley2:1NorwichL
- Norwich1:2BurnleyL
- Norwich0:3BurnleyL
- Burnley1:0NorwichL
- Norwich2:0BurnleyW
Norwich's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeE. Bell−0.1 cards vs average40 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.3total 3.0Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.7
Norwich : BurnleyMost likely scores
Market1-112%2-110%1-08%2-08%0-1—1-27%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-010%2-08%0-17%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-110%2-19%1-01-08%1-010%2-02-08%2-08%0-10-1—0-17%1-21-27%1-27%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 74%72% | 72% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65%71% | 71% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60%55% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58%52% | 52% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 53%53% | 53% |
| 1 – Norwich win | 48%47% · Elo 25% | 47%· Elo 25% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: no | 40%45% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35%29% | 29% |
| 2 – Burnley win | 27%28% · Elo 49% | 28%· Elo 49% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 26% | 26%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Norwich attack vs Burnley defenceattack1520defence1475+45 pts to the attack
Burnley attack vs Norwich defenceattack1510defence1509+1 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Norwich matches average 5.1 cards (league 3.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Burnley: newly promoted
- Norwich: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Burnley: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17:19 | 9 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15:19 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Norwich vs Burnley?
Norwich 4-1 Burnley (half time 3-1).