ChampionshipMatchday 2
Wrexham 1-1 Watford: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
- Referee:
- John Busby
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Lost57%
referee John Busby averages 4.4 cards a match, league average 3.8
For the brave
Cards: Over 4.5Lost39%
referee John Busby averages 4.4 cards a match, league average 3.8
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%54%O2.551%51%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Watford3:1WrexhamL
- Wrexham2:2WatfordD
Wrexham's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss4.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners10.5league 10.5under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards4.1league 3.8over 3.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 2
RefereeJ. Busby+0.6 cards vs average24 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.1total 2.7Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.7
Wrexham : WatfordMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-110%2-09%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-09%2-08%0-00-08%0-07%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 76%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71%71% | 71% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54%54% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51%51% | 51% |
| 1 – Wrexham win | 50%48% · Elo 47% | 48%· Elo 47% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 50%52% | 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 46%46% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 27% | 26%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – Watford win | 24%27% · Elo 27% | 27%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%25% | 25% |
Attack vs defence
Wrexham attack vs Watford defenceattack1523defence1471+52 pts to the attack
Watford attack vs Wrexham defenceattack1473defence1487−14 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Watford concede 2.1 goals per game
- Watford matches average 5.4 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Wrexham: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Watford: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Wrexham
Watford
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:15 | 11 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Wrexham vs Watford?
Wrexham 1-1 Watford (half time 1-1).
Did the Wrexham vs Watford tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip lost.