League OneMatchday 3

Mansfield 5-2 Luton: prediction, tips and result

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5-2Full time(half time 3-0)
Stadium:
One Call Stadium, Mansfield
Referee:
Richard Eley

The match in numbers

1X2EloMansfield136631%32%Draw26%27%Luton145043%41%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%58%O2.557%55%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Mansfield2:2LutonD
  2. Luton0:2MansfieldW
  3. Luton2:1MansfieldL
  4. Mansfield2:2LutonD
  5. Mansfield1:1LutonD
Mansfield's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.2under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.8over 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 6
RefereeR. Eley−0.3 cards vs average17 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.6total 2.9Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 2.9
Mansfield : Luton
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-29%2-18%1-0—0-18%0-27%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-28%2-19%1-09%0-17%0-2—2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-19%1-01-0—1-09%0-10-18%0-17%0-20-27%0-2—2-02-0—2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%78%78%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat69%57%57%
Under 3.5 goals66%68%68%
Both teams to score: yes60%58%58%
1X – home team avoid defeat57%68%68%
Over 2.5 goals57%55%55%
2 – Luton win43%32% · Elo 41%32%· Elo 41%
Under 2.5 goals43%45%45%
Both teams to score: no40%42%42%
Over 3.5 goals34%32%32%
1 – Mansfield win31%43% · Elo 32%43%· Elo 32%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals20%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Mansfield attack vs Luton defenceattack1517defence1502+15 pts to the attack
Luton attack vs Mansfield defenceattack1575defence1535+40 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Luton score 2.3 goals per game
  • Luton: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Luton: unbeaten in 13 matches
  • Luton: 24 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 18 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Mansfield: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Luton: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Luton832316:1511
14Mansfield832312:1411
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Mansfield vs Luton?

Mansfield 5-2 Luton (half time 3-0).