League OneMatchday 3

Notts County 2-1 Burton: prediction, tips and result

·

2-1Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Meadow Lane, Nottingham

The match in numbers

1X2EloNotts County123744%33%Draw28%28%Burton130129%39%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%50%O2.547%46%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Burton1:4Notts CountyW
  2. Notts County1:1BurtonD
Notts County's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses3.5 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.1total 2.5Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Notts County : Burton
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-19%0-09%2-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%0-09%2-09%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-09%0-09%2-02-08%2-09%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals74%71%71%
Under 3.5 goals74%76%76%
12 – no draw73%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat72%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat57%55%55%
Under 2.5 goals53%54%54%
Both teams to score: yes52%50%50%
Both teams to score: no48%50%50%
Over 2.5 goals47%46%46%
1 – Notts County win44%45% · Elo 33%45%· Elo 33%
2 – Burton win29%27% · Elo 39%27%· Elo 39%
X – draw28%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals26%29%29%
Over 3.5 goals26%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Notts County attack vs Burton defenceattack1502defence1508−6 pts to the attack
Burton attack vs Notts County defenceattack1438defence1499−61 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Burton matches average only 7.9 corners (league 10.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Burton: unbeaten in 8 matches
  • Notts County: newly promoted
  • Notts County: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Burton: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Burton1033414:1612
22Notts County81438:117
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Notts County vs Burton?

Notts County 2-1 Burton (half time 0-1).