League TwoMatchday 5

Accrington 3-2 Crawley Town: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
The Crown Ground, Accrington

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon58%

goals at both ends in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAccrington107645%38%Draw26%28%Crawley Town105528%34%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%48%O2.555%42%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Accrington3:3Crawley TownD
  2. Crawley Town1:1AccringtonD
  3. Accrington0:1Crawley TownL
  4. Crawley Town3:1AccringtonL
  5. Crawley Town2:1AccringtonL
Accrington's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.9under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 5
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.7over 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 6
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.2total 2.8Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.4
Accrington : Crawley Town
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-08%0-0—0-1—2-19%2-07%1-27%Attack/defence1-113%1-012%0-010%0-110%2-18%2-08%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-08%1-012%0-00-0—0-010%0-10-1—0-110%2-12-19%2-18%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-27%1-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%68%68%
12 – no draw73%71%71%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%70%70%
Under 3.5 goals67%79%79%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes58%48%48%
Over 2.5 goals55%42%42%
X2 – away team avoid defeat54%59%59%
1 – Accrington win45%41% · Elo 38%41%· Elo 38%
Under 2.5 goals45%58%58%
Both teams to score: no42%52%52%
Over 3.5 goals33%21%21%
2 – Crawley Town win28%30% · Elo 34%30%· Elo 34%
X – draw26%29% · Elo 28%29%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals21%32%32%
Attack vs defence
Accrington attack vs Crawley Town defenceattack1443defence1482−39 pts to the attack
Crawley Town attack vs Accrington defenceattack1419defence1464−45 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Accrington concede 2.3 goals per game
  • Accrington: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Accrington: no win in 10 matches
  • Accrington: only 4 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Crawley Town score a lot late on: 6 of 15 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Accrington: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Crawley Town: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
15Accrington1025313:1411
24Crawley Town81258:155
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Accrington vs Crawley Town?

Accrington 3-2 Crawley Town (half time 1-1).

Did the Accrington vs Crawley Town tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.