League TwoMatchday 5

Crewe 1-1 York: prediction, tips and result

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1-1Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
Alexandra Stadium, Crewe

The match in numbers

1X2EloCrewe116734%48%Draw28%26%York111339%25%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%52%O2.552%46%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.2both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.4total 2.7Attack/defence1.3 : 1.2total 2.5
Crewe : York
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-07%0-18%1-29%2-18%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-010%0-19%1-28%2-18%0-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-07%1-010%0-10-18%0-19%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-18%0-00-0—0-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals77%71%71%
12 – no draw73%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals70%76%76%
X2 – away team avoid defeat67%61%61%
1X – home team avoid defeat62%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes57%52%52%
Over 2.5 goals52%46%46%
Under 2.5 goals48%54%54%
Both teams to score: no43%49%49%
2 – York win39%33% · Elo 25%33%· Elo 25%
1 – Crewe win34%39% · Elo 48%39%· Elo 48%
Over 3.5 goals30%24%24%
X – draw28%28% · Elo 26%28%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals23%29%29%
Attack vs defence
Crewe attack vs York defenceattack1489defence1516−27 pts to the attack
York attack vs Crewe defenceattack1541defence1527+14 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Crewe score a lot late on: 9 of 22 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • York: newly promoted
  • Crewe: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
  • York: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Crewe1046012:718
5York943217:1115
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Crewe vs York?

Crewe 1-1 York (half time 1-1).