League TwoMatchday 9

Exeter 1-0 Rotherham: prediction, tips and result

·

Exeter
1-10-00-10-00-1
1-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Rotherham
1-11-03-30-12-2
Stadium:
St James Park, Exeter

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Shots on Target – Exeter: Under 4.5Lost72%

Exeter: 3.0 shots on target a match, Rotherham's opponents had 2.7 on average, league average 4.2

Other tips

  • Offsides – Rotherham: Under 1.5Won58%

    Rotherham: under 1.5 offsides in 5 of their last 6 league matches, Exeter's opponents were caught offside under 1.5 times in 5 of 8 (47% of league matches); our numbers for Rotherham: 1.4 offsides against a league average of 1.8

  • Fouls – Rotherham: Over 10.5Won59%

    our numbers for Rotherham: 11.6 fouls against a league average of 10.2; Rotherham: 11.7 fouls a match, Exeter's opponents committed 11.6 on average, league average 10.2

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloExeter124139%42%Draw28%28%Rotherham119234%31%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%47%O2.549%40%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Exeter0:4RotherhamL
  2. Rotherham1:0ExeterL
  3. Rotherham1:1ExeterD
  4. Exeter1:0RotherhamW
  5. Rotherham4:1ExeterL
Exeter's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.9under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 43% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 3
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)73%1X1:2coverageleague 77% · H2H 2/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.3total 2.7Attack/defence1.2 : 1.1total 2.3
Exeter : Rotherham
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-09%0-18%0-08%2-19%2-0—Attack/defence1-114%1-012%0-111%0-011%2-18%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-114%1-01-09%1-012%0-10-18%0-111%0-00-08%0-011%2-12-19%2-18%2-02-0—2-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals75%67%67%
12 – no draw73%71%71%
Under 3.5 goals73%80%80%
1X – home team avoid defeat67%68%68%
X2 – away team avoid defeat62%61%61%
Both teams to score: yes54%47%47%
Under 2.5 goals51%60%60%
Over 2.5 goals49%40%40%
Both teams to score: no46%53%53%
1 – Exeter win39%39% · Elo 42%39%· Elo 42%
2 – Rotherham win34%32% · Elo 31%32%· Elo 31%
X – draw28%29% · Elo 28%29%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals27%20%20%
Under 1.5 goals25%33%33%
Attack vs defence
Exeter attack vs Rotherham defenceattack1477defence1533−56 pts to the attack
Rotherham attack vs Exeter defenceattack1525defence1554−29 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 60%close to the league averageunderover 40%
We expect 7.0 in this match, 7.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.554%60%
7.540%44%
8.527%25%
9.518%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Exeterwe expect 3.5, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 28%
Rotherhamwe expect 3.2, league average 3.2 · chance of over 3.5: 39%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 21.2 in this match, 20.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.560%60%
20.553%56%
21.546%48%
22.539%43%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Exeterwe expect 9.7, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 39%
Rotherhamwe expect 11.6, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 59%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.564%60%
3.542%43%
4.524%29%
5.512%13%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Exeterwe expect 1.8, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 54%
Rotherhamwe expect 1.4, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 42%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Exeter: newly promoted
  • Rotherham: newly promoted
  • Exeter: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Rotherham: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Exeter

Rotherham

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
14Exeter103346:612
20Rotherham1024412:1610
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Exeter vs Rotherham?

Exeter 1-0 Rotherham (half time 0-0).

Did the Exeter vs Rotherham tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Shots on Target – Exeter: Under 4.5. The tip lost.

See also