League TwoMatchday 6
Port Vale 1-0 Exeter: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Vale Park, Stoke
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won55%
under 2.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (52% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%48%O2.545%42%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Port Vale1:3ExeterL
- Exeter0:2Port ValeW
- Port Vale2:4ExeterL
- Exeter0:1Port ValeW
- Port Vale1:0ExeterW
Port Vale's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.9under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.7under 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.lost · ended 5
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.0total 2.5Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.4
Port Vale : ExeterMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-012%0-1—0-09%2-09%2-19%Attack/defence1-114%1-012%0-110%0-010%2-07%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-114%1-01-012%1-012%0-10-1—0-110%0-00-09%0-010%2-02-09%2-07%2-12-19%2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 76%68% | 68% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72%68% | 68% |
| Our tip: Under 2.5 goals | 55%58% | 58% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 52%61% | 61% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: no | 50%52% | 52% |
| 1 – Port Vale win | 48%39% · Elo 35% | 39%· Elo 35% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45%42% | 42% |
| X – draw | 28%29% · Elo 28% | 29%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28%32% | 32% |
| 2 – Exeter win | 24%32% · Elo 37% | 32%· Elo 37% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Port Vale attack vs Exeter defenceattack1499defence1552−53 pts to the attack
Exeter attack vs Port Vale defenceattack1503defence1530−27 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Port Vale: newly promoted
- Exeter: newly promoted
- Port Vale: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Exeter: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Exeter | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6:6 | 12 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Port Vale vs Exeter?
Port Vale 1-0 Exeter (half time 0-0).
Did the Port Vale vs Exeter tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.