League TwoMatchday 4

Swindon 3-1 Port Vale: prediction, tips and result

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3-1Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
County Ground, Swindon

The match in numbers

1X2EloSwindon112829%34%Draw27%28%Port Vale120143%39%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%53%O2.548%48%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Swindon3:3Port ValeD
  2. Port Vale2:1SwindonL
  3. Port Vale1:0SwindonL
  4. Swindon2:1Port ValeW
  5. Port Vale1:3SwindonW
Swindon's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.4total 2.6Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.6
Swindon : Port Vale
Most likely scores
Market1-113%0-110%1-0—1-29%2-1—0-08%0-28%Attack/defence1-113%0-19%1-010%1-28%2-19%0-08%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-110%0-19%1-01-0—1-010%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-1—2-19%0-00-08%0-08%0-20-28%0-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals74%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals74%74%74%
12 – no draw72%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat70%60%60%
1X – home team avoid defeat56%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes53%53%53%
Under 2.5 goals52%52%52%
Over 2.5 goals48%48%48%
Both teams to score: no47%47%47%
2 – Port Vale win43%33% · Elo 39%33%· Elo 39%
1 – Swindon win29%40% · Elo 34%40%· Elo 34%
X – draw27%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals26%27%27%
Over 3.5 goals26%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Swindon attack vs Port Vale defenceattack1533defence1535−2 pts to the attack
Port Vale attack vs Swindon defenceattack1507defence1477+30 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Swindon matches average 12.5 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Port Vale: newly promoted
  • Swindon played 3 days ago
  • Port Vale played 3 days ago

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
17Swindon103259:1411
22Port Vale82244:98
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Swindon vs Port Vale?

Swindon 3-1 Port Vale (half time 1-1).