League TwoMatchday 11
Oldham vs Cheltenham: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%53%O2.554%51%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Oldham2:1CheltenhamW
- Cheltenham0:3OldhamW
- Cheltenham2:0OldhamL
- Oldham2:1CheltenhamW
- Cheltenham3:0OldhamL
Oldham's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.7over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.0total 2.8Attack/defence1.7 : 1.0total 2.7
Oldham : CheltenhamMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-010%2-110%2-010%0-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-09%0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-010%2-09%0-00-07%0-07%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 80%77% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68%72% | 72% |
| 1 – Oldham win | 57%52% · Elo 46% | 52%· Elo 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54%53% | 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 46%47% | 47% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 43%48% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 23%25% · Elo 27% | 25%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%25% | 25% |
| 2 – Cheltenham win | 20%23% · Elo 27% | 23%· Elo 27% |
Attack vs defence
Oldham attack vs Cheltenham defenceattack1521defence1391+130 pts to the attack
Cheltenham attack vs Oldham defenceattack1511defence1549−38 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 40%
We expect 7.0 in this match, 7.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.554%61%
7.540%45%
8.527%27%
9.518%17%
Each team on its own
Oldhamwe expect 4.0, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 36%
Cheltenhamwe expect 2.8, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 31%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 61%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 39%
We expect 19.4 in this match, 20.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.547%61%
20.539%57%
21.532%51%
22.526%45%
Each team on its own
Oldhamwe expect 8.8, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 28%
Cheltenhamwe expect 10.4, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 46%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.567%58%
3.546%41%
4.527%28%
5.514%11%
Each team on its own
Oldhamwe expect 1.7, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Cheltenhamwe expect 1.8, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 53%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cheltenham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:16 | 15 |
| 21 | Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Oldham vs Cheltenham?
Oldham are the favourites. Chances: Oldham win 57%, draw 23%, Cheltenham win 20%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Oldham vs Cheltenham?
Expected goals: 2.8 (Oldham 1.8, Cheltenham 1.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 54%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Oldham vs Cheltenham?
The chance that both teams score is 54%.
When is Oldham vs Cheltenham?
The League Two match kicks off 17 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).