League TwoMatchday 9

Accrington 2-0 Cheltenham: prediction, tips and result

·

Accrington
2-23-21-20-01-1
2-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Cheltenham
2-11-13-12-23-2
Stadium:
The Crown Ground, Accrington

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesLost58%

goals at both ends in 6 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 8 (51% of league matches); Cheltenham: scored in each of their last 8 league matches

Other tips

  • Offsides – Cheltenham: Under 1.561%

    our numbers for Cheltenham: 1.4 offsides against a league average of 1.8; Cheltenham: 1.3 offsides a match, Accrington's opponents were caught offside 1.0 times on average, league average 1.8

  • Fouls – Cheltenham: Under 10.567%

    our numbers for Cheltenham: 9.3 fouls against a league average of 10.2

  • Shots on Target – Accrington: Under 4.557%

    Accrington: under 4.5 shots on target in 6 of their last 7 league matches, Cheltenham's opponents had under 4.5 in 5 of 7 (65% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAccrington107634%35%Draw27%28%Cheltenham109139%37%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%56%O2.552%52%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Accrington3:1CheltenhamW
  2. Cheltenham1:0AccringtonL
  3. Accrington0:0CheltenhamD
  4. Cheltenham2:1AccringtonL
  5. Cheltenham0:0AccringtonD
Accrington's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 6
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)68%BTTS yes1:0coverageleague 63% · H2H 2/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.4total 2.7Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Accrington : Cheltenham
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-29%1-07%2-18%0-18%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-28%1-09%2-19%0-18%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-21-29%1-28%1-01-07%1-09%2-12-18%2-19%0-10-18%0-18%2-02-0—2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals77%76%76%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals70%70%70%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%59%59%
1X – home team avoid defeat61%67%67%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes57%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals52%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals48%48%48%
Both teams to score: no43%44%44%
2 – Cheltenham win39%33% · Elo 37%33%· Elo 37%
1 – Accrington win34%41% · Elo 35%41%· Elo 35%
Over 3.5 goals30%30%30%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals23%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Accrington attack vs Cheltenham defenceattack1441defence1391+50 pts to the attack
Cheltenham attack vs Accrington defenceattack1532defence1463+69 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 7.8 in this match, 7.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.565%60%
7.551%44%
8.538%25%
9.526%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Accringtonwe expect 4.3, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 43%
Cheltenhamwe expect 3.6, league average 3.2 · chance of over 3.5: 48%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 62%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 39%
We expect 19.3 in this match, 20.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.546%60%
20.539%56%
21.532%48%
22.525%43%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Accringtonwe expect 9.8, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 40%
Cheltenhamwe expect 9.3, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 34%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 66%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 34%
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.556%60%
3.534%43%
4.518%29%
5.58%13%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Accringtonwe expect 1.5, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Cheltenhamwe expect 1.4, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 40%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Accrington concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Cheltenham concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Cheltenham: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Accrington: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Cheltenham: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Accrington

Cheltenham

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Cheltenham1043316:1615
15Accrington1025313:1411
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Accrington vs Cheltenham?

Accrington 2-0 Cheltenham (half time 0-0).

Did the Accrington vs Cheltenham tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip lost.

See also