League TwoMatchday 8
Swindon 1-1 Accrington: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- County Ground, Swindon
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%53%O2.553%49%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Swindon2:2AccringtonD
- Accrington4:0SwindonL
- Swindon0:0AccringtonD
- Accrington2:2SwindonD
- Swindon1:2AccringtonL
Swindon's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 13
Cardsleague cards3.6league 3.8under 4.5: 71%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 64% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 2
Refereeno referee data
Dutching(several bets at once)67%BTTS yes1:0coverageleague 62% · H2H 3/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.2total 2.7Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.6
Swindon : AccringtonMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-09%2-19%2-07%0-0—0-1—1-27%Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-19%2-09%0-08%0-17%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-09%1-011%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-07%2-09%0-00-0—0-08%0-10-1—0-17%1-21-27%1-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 71%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 57%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57%53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53%49% | 49% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47%51% | 51% |
| 1 – Swindon win | 44%48% · Elo 51% | 48%· Elo 51% |
| Both teams to score: no | 43%47% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31%27% | 27% |
| 2 – Accrington win | 30%26% · Elo 23% | 26%· Elo 23% |
| X – draw | 27%26% · Elo 26% | 26%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22%26% | 26% |
Attack vs defence
Swindon attack vs Accrington defenceattack1539defence1460+79 pts to the attack
Accrington attack vs Swindon defenceattack1443defence1465−22 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Accrington concede 2.1 goals per game
- Swindon matches average only 2.5 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Swindon: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Accrington: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Swindon matches average 12.0 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Swindon: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Accrington: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Accrington | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 17 | Swindon | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Swindon vs Accrington?
Swindon 1-1 Accrington (half time 1-1).