League TwoMatchday 7
Salford 1-0 Swindon: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Moor Lane, Salford
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost60%
our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5; over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost37%
over 3.5 goals in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%54%O2.560%50%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Swindon2:3SalfordW
- Salford3:2SwindonW
- Swindon2:2SalfordD
- Salford2:1SwindonW
- Swindon1:1SalfordD
Salford's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.9over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 17
Cardsleague cards3.6league 3.7under 3.5: 52%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 3
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.0total 3.1Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.7
Salford : SwindonMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-010%2-110%1-09%0-1—1-2—3-07%Attack/defence1-113%2-08%2-19%1-010%0-18%1-27%3-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-113%2-02-010%2-08%2-12-110%2-19%1-01-09%1-010%0-10-1—0-18%1-21-2—1-27%3-03-07%3-0—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 84%70% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 79%74% | 74% |
| 1 – Salford win | 63%44% · Elo 43% | 44%· Elo 43% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63%72% | 72% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 60%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 45%46% | 46% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40%50% | 50% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 37%56% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 21%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%25% | 25% |
| 2 – Swindon win | 16%30% · Elo 30% | 30%· Elo 30% |
Attack vs defence
Salford attack vs Swindon defenceattack1513defence1460+53 pts to the attack
Swindon attack vs Salford defenceattack1547defence1522+25 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Swindon concede 2.1 goals per game
- Swindon matches average only 2.4 cards (league 3.7) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Swindon: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Salford: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Swindon: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 17 | Swindon | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Salford vs Swindon?
Salford 1-0 Swindon (half time 0-0).
Did the Salford vs Swindon tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.