League TwoMatchday 6
York 4-0 Swindon: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- York`s LNER Community Stadium, York
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won65%
our numbers: 3.4 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5; over 2.5 goals in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (48% of league matches)
Other tips
- Corners: Over 9.5Lost62%
12.4 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 12.0 in the visitors', league average 9.9; over 9.5 corners in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (56% of league matches)
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won43%
our numbers: 3.4 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%56%O2.565%53%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners10.7league 9.9over 9.5: 62%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.7under 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.won · ended 3
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 1.2total 3.4Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.8
York : SwindonMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%1-07%2-08%1-2—0-1—3-17%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%2-07%1-27%0-17%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%2-12-110%2-19%1-01-07%1-09%2-02-08%2-07%1-21-2—1-27%0-10-1—0-17%3-13-17%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85%77% | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 81%70% | 70% |
| 12 – no draw | 79%74% | 74% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 65%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61%56% | 56% |
| 1 – York win | 60%44% · Elo 31% | 44%· Elo 31% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57%69% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43%31% | 31% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 40%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 39%44% | 44% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35%47% | 47% |
| X – draw | 21%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Swindon win | 19%30% · Elo 41% | 30%· Elo 41% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
York attack vs Swindon defenceattack1544defence1476+68 pts to the attack
Swindon attack vs York defenceattack1553defence1514+39 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Swindon matches average only 2.3 cards (league 3.7) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Swindon: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Swindon matches average 11.9 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- York: newly promoted
- York: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Swindon: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | York | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:11 | 15 |
| 17 | Swindon | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of York vs Swindon?
York 4-0 Swindon (half time 2-0).
Did the York vs Swindon tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.