League TwoMatchday 5
Swindon 3-1 Colchester: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- County Ground, Swindon
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won55%
over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won33%
over 3.5 goals in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%52%O2.555%47%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Colchester3:0SwindonL
- Swindon0:0ColchesterD
- Swindon3:2ColchesterW
- Colchester4:0SwindonL
- Swindon2:2ColchesterD
Swindon's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 9.9over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.7under 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 2
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.4total 2.9Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.5
Swindon : ColchesterMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-07%0-17%2-18%0-0—1-28%Attack/defence1-113%1-010%0-19%2-19%0-08%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-07%1-010%0-10-17%0-19%2-12-18%2-19%0-00-0—0-08%1-21-28%1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79%72% | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 64%67% | 67% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 63%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59%52% | 52% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 55%47% | 47% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: no | 41%48% | 48% |
| 1 – Swindon win | 37%40% · Elo 41% | 40%· Elo 41% |
| 2 – Colchester win | 36%33% · Elo 32% | 33%· Elo 32% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33%25% | 25% |
| X – draw | 27%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%28% | 28% |
Attack vs defence
Swindon attack vs Colchester defenceattack1543defence1558−15 pts to the attack
Colchester attack vs Swindon defenceattack1496defence1480+16 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Swindon matches average only 2.3 cards (league 3.7) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Swindon: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Swindon matches average 12.4 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Swindon: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Colchester: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Swindon | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Colchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Swindon vs Colchester?
Swindon 3-1 Colchester (half time 0-1).
Did the Swindon vs Colchester tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.