Premier LeagueMatchday 2
Aston Villa 0-1 Arsenal: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Villa Park, Birmingham
- Referee:
- Jarred Gillett
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%52%O2.555%48%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.5not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Arsenal4:1Aston VillaL
- Aston Villa2:1ArsenalW
- Arsenal2:2Aston VillaD
- Aston Villa0:2ArsenalL
- Arsenal0:2Aston VillaW
Aston Villa's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.0over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 6
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.9under 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 43% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 6%.lost · ended 4
RefereeJ. Gillett−0.4 cards vs average29 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.8 : 2.0total 2.8Attack/defence1.1 : 1.5total 2.6
Aston Villa : ArsenalMost likely scores
Market1-110%0-212%0-111%1-210%0-38%0-0—1-0—Attack/defence1-113%0-29%0-111%1-29%0-3—0-08%1-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-113%0-20-212%0-29%0-10-111%0-111%1-21-210%1-29%0-30-38%0-3—0-00-0—0-08%1-01-0—1-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 86%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 80%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67%74% | 74% |
| 2 – Arsenal win | 65%47% · Elo 49% | 47%· Elo 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 50%48% | 48% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45%52% | 52% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 36%53% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33%26% | 26% |
| X – draw | 21%27% · Elo 26% | 27%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%27% | 27% |
| 1 – Aston Villa win | 15%27% · Elo 24% | 27%· Elo 24% |
Attack vs defence
Aston Villa attack vs Arsenal defenceattack1501defence1696−195 pts to the attack
Arsenal attack vs Aston Villa defenceattack1590defence1498+92 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Arsenal concede only 0.5 goals per game
- Arsenal: 6 wins in a row
- Aston Villa: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Arsenal: 10 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Aston Villa
Arsenal
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Arsenal?
Aston Villa 0-1 Arsenal (half time 0-0).