Premier LeagueMatchday 4

Bournemouth 2-2 Brentford: prediction, tips and result

·

2-2Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Referee:
Jarred Gillett

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won57%

over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBournemouth203042%44%Draw26%28%Brentford204632%28%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%59%O2.557%56%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Bournemouth0:0BrentfordD
  2. Brentford4:1BournemouthL
  3. Bournemouth1:2BrentfordL
  4. Brentford3:2BournemouthL
  5. Bournemouth1:2BrentfordL
Bournemouth's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.0over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 3
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.9over 3.5: 52%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 6%.won · ended 6
RefereeJ. Gillett−0.4 cards vs average30 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.4total 3.0Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 2.9
Bournemouth : Brentford
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-07%1-28%2-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-08%1-28%2-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-07%1-08%1-21-28%1-28%2-02-07%2-07%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%79%79%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%69%69%
Under 3.5 goals65%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes61%59%59%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%56%56%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals57%56%56%
Under 2.5 goals43%44%44%
1 – Bournemouth win42%44% · Elo 44%44%· Elo 44%
Both teams to score: no39%41%41%
Over 3.5 goals35%33%33%
2 – Brentford win32%31% · Elo 28%31%· Elo 28%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals19%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Bournemouth attack vs Brentford defenceattack1523defence1493+30 pts to the attack
Brentford attack vs Bournemouth defenceattack1529defence1503+26 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Bournemouth concede a lot late on: 8 of 19 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Bournemouth: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Brentford: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Brentford624012:610
18Bournemouth60337:133
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Bournemouth vs Brentford?

Bournemouth 2-2 Brentford (half time 1-1).

Did the Bournemouth vs Brentford tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.