Premier LeagueMatchday 3
Newcastle 2-2 Bournemouth: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- St. James Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
- Referee:
- Robert Jones
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%60%O2.561%57%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Newcastle1:2BournemouthL
- Bournemouth0:0NewcastleD
- Newcastle1:4BournemouthL
- Bournemouth1:1NewcastleD
- Newcastle2:2BournemouthD
Newcastle's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.0over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.1league 3.9over 3.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 5%.won · ended 5
RefereeR. Jones0.0 cards vs average25 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.4total 3.2Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 3.0
Newcastle : BournemouthMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-07%1-27%2-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-08%1-27%2-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-07%1-08%1-21-27%1-27%2-02-07%2-07%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 71%69% | 69% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63%60% | 60% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62%66% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61%57% | 57% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 55%56% | 56% |
| 1 – Newcastle win | 45%44% · Elo 43% | 44%· Elo 43% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%43% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%34% | 34% |
| Both teams to score: no | 37%41% | 41% |
| 2 – Bournemouth win | 29%31% · Elo 29% | 31%· Elo 29% |
| X – draw | 26%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Newcastle attack vs Bournemouth defenceattack1540defence1502+38 pts to the attack
Bournemouth attack vs Newcastle defenceattack1515defence1489+26 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Bournemouth concede a lot late on: 8 of 19 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Newcastle: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Bournemouth: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
Bournemouth
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Newcastle vs Bournemouth?
Newcastle 2-2 Bournemouth (half time 1-2).