Premier LeagueMatchday 6

Crystal Palace 3-1 Nott'm Forest: prediction, tips and result

·

Crystal Palace
0-21-43-22-30-0
3-1Full time(half time 2-1)
Nott'm Forest
0-12-10-02-20-1
Stadium:
Selhurst Park, London
Referee:
Peter Bankes

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards – Nott'm Forest (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Won66%

Nott'm Forest: under 2.5 card points in 4 of their last 5 league matches, Crystal Palace's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 4 of 5 (61% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Shots on Target – Crystal Palace: Under 4.5Lost59%

    Crystal Palace: under 4.5 shots on target in 4 of their last 5 league matches, Nott'm Forest's opponents had under 4.5 in 4 of 5 (54% of league matches); 3.4 shots on target a match, Nott'm Forest's opponents had 3.2 on average, league average 4.4

  • Fouls – Crystal Palace: Under 10.5Lost66%

    our numbers for Crystal Palace: 9.4 fouls against a league average of 10.3

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCrystal Palace197934%37%Draw29%28%Nott'm Forest199637%35%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%55%O2.550%50%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Nott'm Forest1:1Crystal PalaceD
  2. Crystal Palace1:1Nott'm ForestD
  3. Crystal Palace1:1Nott'm ForestD
  4. Nott'm Forest1:0Crystal PalaceL
  5. Nott'm Forest1:1Crystal PalaceD
Crystal Palace's record: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.9under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.5league 3.8under 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 4
RefereeP. Bankes−0.3 yellow cards vs average30 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)74%X22:1coverageleague 68% · H2H 5/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.4total 2.7Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
Crystal Palace : Nott'm Forest
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-08%0-19%2-18%1-28%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-09%0-19%2-18%1-28%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-08%1-09%0-10-19%0-19%2-12-18%2-18%1-21-28%1-28%0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals76%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals72%72%72%
12 – no draw71%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%62%62%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes55%55%55%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%50%
Under 2.5 goals50%50%50%
Both teams to score: no45%45%45%
2 – Nott'm Forest win37%35% · Elo 35%35%· Elo 35%
1 – Crystal Palace win34%38% · Elo 37%38%· Elo 37%
X – draw29%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals28%28%28%
Under 1.5 goals24%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Crystal Palace attack vs Nott'm Forest defenceattack1468defence1526−58 pts to the attack
Nott'm Forest attack vs Crystal Palace defenceattack1482defence1464+18 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 8.2 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.557%56%
8.544%45%
9.532%31%
10.522%20%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Crystal Palacewe expect 4.2, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
Nott'm Forestwe expect 4.0, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 56%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 40%
We expect 20.5 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.547%52%
21.540%46%
22.533%37%
23.527%30%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Crystal Palacewe expect 9.4, league average 10.3 · chance of over 10.5: 35%
Nott'm Forestwe expect 11.0, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 53%
Referee: 20.6 fouls per match on average (30 matches in our data)0.0 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 61%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.561%62%
3.539%43%
4.521%23%
5.510%13%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Crystal Palacewe expect 1.6, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Nott'm Forestwe expect 1.5, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 45%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Crystal Palace concede 2.3 goals per game
  • Crystal Palace matches average only 2.5 cards (league 3.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Crystal Palace: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Crystal Palace: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Nott'm Forest: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Crystal Palace

Nott'm Forest

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Crystal Palace62139:127
15Nott'm Forest61235:85
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Crystal Palace vs Nott'm Forest?

Crystal Palace 3-1 Nott'm Forest (half time 2-1).

Did the Crystal Palace vs Nott'm Forest tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards – Nott'm Forest (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5. The tip won.

See also