Premier LeagueMatchday 4
Aston Villa 1-2 Nott'm Forest: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Villa Park, Birmingham
- Referee:
- Andrew Madley
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%53%O2.552%49%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Aston Villa4:0Nott'm ForestW
- Nott'm Forest1:0Aston VillaL
- Nott'm Forest1:1Aston VillaD
- Aston Villa3:1Nott'm ForestW
- Aston Villa2:1Nott'm ForestW
Aston Villa's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 10.0under 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.9over 3.5: 52%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 7
RefereeA. Madley−0.3 cards vs average34 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.2total 2.7Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.6
Aston Villa : Nott'm ForestMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-09%2-19%0-1—0-07%1-2—2-07%Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-19%0-18%0-08%1-27%2-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-09%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%0-00-07%0-08%1-21-2—1-27%2-02-07%2-0—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%73% | 73% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 71%69% | 69% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 57%58% | 58% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56%53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52%49% | 49% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: no | 44%47% | 47% |
| 1 – Aston Villa win | 43%42% · Elo 54% | 42%· Elo 54% |
| 2 – Nott'm Forest win | 29%31% · Elo 21% | 31%· Elo 21% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29%27% | 27% |
| X – draw | 28%27% · Elo 25% | 27%· Elo 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23%26% | 26% |
Attack vs defence
Aston Villa attack vs Nott'm Forest defenceattack1489defence1521−32 pts to the attack
Nott'm Forest attack vs Aston Villa defenceattack1481defence1508−27 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nott'm Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Nott'm Forest?
Aston Villa 1-2 Nott'm Forest (half time 0-0).