Premier LeagueMatchday 6

Hull 2-2 Everton: prediction, tips and result

·

Hull
2-01-00-02-21-2
2-2Full time(half time 0-0)
Everton
1-00-02-21-12-0
Stadium:
MKM Stadium, Hull
Referee:
Michael Salisbury

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards – Everton (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Won68%

Everton: under 2.5 card points in 4 of their last 5 league matches, Hull's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 5 of 5 (61% of league matches); 1.8 card points a match, Hull's opponents collected 0.8 card points on average, league average 2.2; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Fouls – Everton: Under 9.5Won59%

    Everton: under 9.5 fouls in 4 of their last 5 league matches, Hull's opponents committed under 9.5 in 5 of 5 (37% of league matches); our numbers for Everton: 8.9 fouls against a league average of 10.8

  • Offsides – Hull: Under 1.5Won67%

    Hull: 0.8 offsides a match, Everton's opponents were caught offside 0.6 times on average, league average 1.8; our numbers for Hull: 1.2 offsides against a league average of 1.8

  • Shots on Target – Hull: Under 4.5Won62%

    Hull: under 4.5 shots on target in 4 of their last 5 league matches, Everton's opponents had under 4.5 in 4 of 5 (54% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards – Everton (yellow=1, red=2): Under 1.5Won42%

Hull's opponents collected under 1.5 card points in 5 of 5 (33% of league matches); Everton: 1.8 card points a match, Hull's opponents collected 0.8 card points on average, league average 2.2; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloHull166524%13%Draw28%19%Everton199448%67%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%51%O2.547%45%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Everton4:0HullL
  2. Hull2:2EvertonD
  3. Hull2:0EvertonW
  4. Everton1:1HullD
  5. Hull0:2EvertonL
Hull's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 13
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 3.8over 3.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.lost · ended 2
RefereeM. Salisbury+0.2 yellow cards vs average23 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)75%1X0:11:2coverageleague 82% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.5total 2.5Attack/defence1.2 : 1.3total 2.5
Hull : Everton
Most likely scores
Market1-113%0-111%1-0—1-29%0-29%0-09%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-110%1-010%1-28%0-2—0-09%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-111%0-110%1-01-0—1-010%1-21-29%1-28%0-20-29%0-2—0-00-09%0-09%2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat76%66%66%
Under 3.5 goals75%76%76%
Over 1.5 goals73%71%71%
12 – no draw72%72%72%
Under 2.5 goals53%55%55%
1X – home team avoid defeat52%62%62%
Both teams to score: yes51%51%51%
Both teams to score: no49%49%49%
2 – Everton win48%38% · Elo 67%38%· Elo 67%
Over 2.5 goals47%45%45%
X – draw28%28% · Elo 19%28%· Elo 19%
Under 1.5 goals27%29%29%
Over 3.5 goals25%24%24%
1 – Hull win24%34% · Elo 13%34%· Elo 13%
Attack vs defence
Hull attack vs Everton defenceattack1402defence1526−124 pts to the attack
Everton attack vs Hull defenceattack1443defence1438+5 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 8.2 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.556%56%
8.543%45%
9.531%31%
10.521%20%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Hullwe expect 4.0, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 38%
Evertonwe expect 4.1, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 57%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 67%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 33%
We expect 19.5 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.540%52%
21.533%46%
22.527%37%
23.521%30%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Hullwe expect 9.7, league average 10.3 · chance of over 10.5: 39%
Evertonwe expect 8.9, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 30%
Referee: 20.8 fouls per match on average (23 matches in our data)+1.0 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.558%62%
3.536%43%
4.519%23%
5.59%13%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Hullwe expect 1.2, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 33%
Evertonwe expect 1.8, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 52%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Everton concede a lot late on: 12 of 27 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Hull: newly promoted
  • Hull: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Everton: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Hull

Everton

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Everton62408:510
8Hull62318:69
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Hull vs Everton?

Hull 2-2 Everton (half time 0-0).

Did the Hull vs Everton tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards – Everton (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5. The tip won.

See also