Premier LeagueMatchday 5

Newcastle 2-1 Hull: prediction, tips and result

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2-1Full time(half time 2-0)
Stadium:
St. James Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Referee:
Tony Harrington

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won61%

over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost39%

over 3.5 goals in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloNewcastle201260%80%Draw22%13%Hull166118%7%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%56%O2.561%56%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Hull0:3NewcastleW
  2. Newcastle2:2HullD
  3. Hull1:4NewcastleW
  4. Newcastle2:3HullL
  5. Hull1:1NewcastleD
Newcastle's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeT. Harrington−0.6 cards vs average21 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.1total 3.2Attack/defence1.8 : 1.1total 2.9
Newcastle : Hull
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%1-08%2-09%3-17%1-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%2-09%3-16%1-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-08%1-09%2-02-09%2-09%3-13-17%3-16%1-21-2—1-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%79%79%
1X – home team avoid defeat82%77%77%
12 – no draw78%76%76%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals61%56%56%
Under 3.5 goals61%67%67%
1 – Newcastle win60%53% · Elo 80%53%· Elo 80%
Both teams to score: yes58%56%56%
Both teams to score: no42%44%44%
X2 – away team avoid defeat40%47%47%
Under 2.5 goals39%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals39%33%33%
X – draw22%24% · Elo 13%24%· Elo 13%
2 – Hull win18%23% · Elo 7%23%· Elo 7%
Under 1.5 goals17%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Newcastle attack vs Hull defenceattack1532defence1437+95 pts to the attack
Hull attack vs Newcastle defenceattack1402defence1466−64 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Hull: newly promoted
  • Newcastle: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Hull: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Hull62318:69
11Newcastle622210:138
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Newcastle vs Hull?

Newcastle 2-1 Hull (half time 2-0).

Did the Newcastle vs Hull tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.