Premier LeagueMatchday 4
Leeds 4-1 Newcastle: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Elland Road, Leeds (attendance: 36,693)
- Referee:
- Michael Salisbury
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%58%O2.556%55%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Newcastle4:3LeedsL
- Leeds0:0NewcastleD
- Leeds2:2NewcastleD
- Newcastle0:0LeedsD
- Leeds0:1NewcastleL
Leeds's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.1league 3.9over 3.5: 58%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.lost · ended 3
RefereeM. Salisbury+0.3 cards vs average22 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.4total 3.0Attack/defence1.4 : 1.5total 2.9
Leeds : NewcastleMost likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-28%1-08%0-1—2-07%0-0—Attack/defence1-112%2-18%1-28%1-08%0-18%2-0—0-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-18%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-08%1-08%0-10-1—0-18%2-02-07%2-0—0-00-0—0-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 68%62% | 62% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67%68% | 68% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 59%63% | 63% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59%58% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56%55% | 55% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44%45% | 45% |
| 1 – Leeds win | 41%37% · Elo 30% | 37%· Elo 30% |
| Both teams to score: no | 41%42% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33%32% | 32% |
| 2 – Newcastle win | 32%38% · Elo 42% | 38%· Elo 42% |
| X – draw | 27%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Leeds attack vs Newcastle defenceattack1451defence1480−29 pts to the attack
Newcastle attack vs Leeds defenceattack1540defence1461+79 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Leeds: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Leeds: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Newcastle: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:13 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Leeds vs Newcastle?
Leeds 4-1 Newcastle (half time 3-0).